Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Harsher Politically Inspired Immigration Policies Will Affect Labor Needs, Taxes, and Economy

The United States will eventually face a lack of labor due to the present citizen’s reproduction rate, In 2006, reproduction was at 2,01. In 2026, reproduction is at ~1.6. In which case the amount of Labor in the United States may become strategic to its economic growth. “The U.S.-Born labor force will shrink over the […]

Why no US recession? Free spending by the upper class

– by New Deal democrat There is a slew of economic data being released tomorrow, the most important of which will be personal income and spending, so I will likely defer some reporting on the other data until Friday. But in the meantime, there’s no significant data today. So let me take this opportunity to show […]

Annals of economic prophecy

“Stahl then referenced Sorkin’s latest book, “1929: Inside the Greatest Crash in Wall Street History — and How It Shattered a Nation,” before further pressing him over whether he thinks America will face another economic disaster like in 1929. “The answer is, we will have a crash,” he said. “I just can’t tell you when, […]

Repeat home sales continue to show disinflation; shelter CPI likely to continue to be a non-factor

 – by New Deal democrat For the last number of months, I have been putting front and center that housing prices have ceased being an engine of inflation. In fact, changes in repeat home sales prices as measured by both the Case-Shiller National Index and the FHFA Purchase Only Index are at levels that with only […]

A realistic Manufacturing Problem when Suppliers Leave the Market

Italicized is my take on the issue. It is something I might do when I ran into similar issues as a Purchasing Manager or Supply Chain Manager. “While Everyone Watched Feedstock, Nylon Supply Base Quietly Shrank” Plastics Today Michael Workman The resin market story you’ve been reading about all spring is real. Benzene is approaching […]

Republicans Claim Immigration Fraud

Rather than build upon a program or programs, Trump and fellow Republicans decided to change, make more difficult, or destroy a number of initiatives as listed below. Think back to the expansion of ACA healthcare so many citizens were covered during Covid. Our brazen overweight president eliminated the subsidies for millions of citizens. In many […]

Surveys of Consumers, University of Michigan

An Explanation: The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which […]