Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

March industrial production

“March industrial production mainly continues stagnant trend”  – by New Deal democrat Since I didn’t get to it yesterday, let me say a few words about yesterday’s industrial production report for March this morning. I used to call this “the King of Coincident Indicators,” but with the shrinking of manufacturing as a share of the US […]

population is growing at the rate of almost 1 percent per year

The following statement appeared in the Smithsonian in 2006. “The United States’ population is growing at the rate of almost 1 percent per year, thanks in part to immigration and its secondary effects. Not only does the United States accept more legal immigrants as permanent residents than the rest of the world combined, but these […]

What is inflation?

A couple years back, I attended a town hall hosted by my House representative, Gabe Amo. During the Q&A, a gal who I judged to be in her 20s referred to the current economic situation as “hyperinflation.” That was nonsense, of course. Hyperinflation is defined by prices rising ofer 50% monthly. Historic examples of hyperinflation […]

Jobless claims continue to be the most positive metric . . .

Jobless claims continue to be the most positive metric in the array of economic indicators   – by New Deal democrat The new regime of lower jobless claims continued this week. Initial claims declined -11,000 to 207,000, while the four week moving average rose 500 to 209,750. Both of these remain within a stone’s throw […]

From an online comment thread at the NYT

“Meg”: Look, the reason Chinese cars are affordable is that they are subsidized by the Chinese government. Heavily. Removing import restrictions on these cars would devastate the American car industry. We are talking hundreds of thousands of jobs lost. How about instead we have the American government subsidize affordable cars here, or return to requiring […]

Stock market at new highs

“Stock market at new highs, even with Strait of Hormuz still closed. What is Wall Street thinking?!?”  – by New Deal democrat As I type this, there are two particularly salient facts:  1. Although the US and Iran are not lobbing bombs at one another at the moment, the Strait of Hormuz is still closed.  2. […]

Long-Term Care Costs Drain the Middle Class

Grabbed one section out of a longer piece by the Roosevelt Institute on Long Term Care. I am betting many Baby Boomers lack such. I also suspect they have no other resource either. Not a difficult read. III. Long-Term Care Depletes Assets for Middle-Class Americans and Contributes to Widening Wealth Inequality, Roosevelt Institute For millions […]

March existing home sales demonstrate a new equilibrium in the housing market

 – by New Deal democrat Sometimes there just isn’t much drama in economic numbers, and that was certainly the case for this month’s edition of existing home sales. As a mild refresher, even though they constitute about 90% of all housing sales, existing sales are not nearly so important as new home sales, since the latter […]

Healthcare Costs a Partial Discussion

This is a much longer report than the three charts I am showing below. Charts 3, 5, and 8 get to the issues at hand. At least, I believe so. To me, I do not believe there is any politics involved in deciding whether healthcare is important. It is important and should be readily available […]

Democrats State Trump’s Economic Policies Will Cause Damage to US Manufacturing

Democrats believe Trump’s Tariff Policies resulted in the loss of jobs in manufacturing. Democrats also estimate a reduction in manufacturing investment growth by an average of 13 percent per year. Joint Economic Committee – Minority Party. “Uncertainty From Trump’s Tariffs Derails U.S. Manufacturing in Both the Short and Long Term,” WASHINGTON – The Joint Economic […]