Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Self-sufficiency in oil has done nothing at all to insulate the U.S. economy

Self-sufficiency does not mean stable pricing in the United States as Paul Krugman explains in his earlier March commentary. There is no allegiance to US citizens by oil companies. Give the tax breaks and citizens still pay. “The Impotence of Drill, Baby, Drill,” Paul Krugman, March 10, 2026 America produces a lot of oil. It […]

Economy Will Not Absorb This Oil Shock

AB: A review and forecast of what is happening and what will happen over the next few weeks due to the oil shortage brought on by Trump’s attack on Iran. The impact of which, Trump’s blunder will cause many more issues economically. This is not Venezuela. “The Economy Doesn’t Have the Room to Absorb This […]

“Problems of high prices and complexity of health care cannot be solved by shifting responsibility to people”

I read this piece at Health Affairs. Liked it, thought I could shrink it down with a bit of a rewrite, failed on the latter. It is a 10 minute easy read on health care, deductibles, and why the ACA is in trouble . . . think deductibles. They do not solve the use of […]

Prepare for a major CPI shock in March and April

– by New Deal democrat Prepare for the CPI to increase over 1.5%, and perhaps even 2.5%, just by the end of April. That’s the message conveyed by the huge spike in gas prices so far this month due to the war with Iran. Let me start with the blockbuster graph. This is the monthly […]

Investigating Excess Capacity and Labor Practices

Before you start to believe this administration cares about in country’s manufacturing and people working more hours for less pay, think about it first. Do you really believe this administration cares about either? It is all about giving an edge to him to play the nation’s economy to fill his pocket. Guest Commentary by Erica […]

A detailed look at interpreting expansionary and pre-recession layoff and unemployment signals

– by New Deal democrat This week, in addition to my usual look at jobless claims, especially in view of my post earlier this week breaking down the components of aggregate nonsupervisory payrolls,  I want to compare them with several other indicators of increased joblessness in terms of their expansion and pre-recession dynamics.  First, let’s look […]

Drops in ACA Silver Plans

What Andrew Sprung is discussing is the impact of Republicans and Trumps’ change to the funding for ACA healthcare. To explain premium tax credit improvements expired at the end of 2025, causing 2026 premiums to spike for all marketplace enrollees, whether or not they receive premium tax credits. The expiration of the enhanced tax subsidies […]

Keep on Trucking?

I posted earlier about my interest in whether higher oil prices would favor freight trains over trucks. Now, not only is the Trump administration driving up fuel prices, it’s also cutting truck drivers. “About 200,000 immigrant truck drivers – virtually all of them in the U.S. legally – will begin losing their commercial driver’s licenses […]

Just some Transportation Observations

When I was working for one international company, we booked a train trip from Shanghai to Hangzhou. It was not the fastest train (G). It was a slightly slower train (D). Pleasant ride. No clicky-clack and roomy seats, You were not shoehorned into an area or seat. You could recline the seat. Distance was ~125 […]