Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Global Oil Surplus Per Day as OPEC output fell to 1.049 million bpd below quota

RJS: Focus on Fracking ~~~~~~~ Summary: Global oil surplus at 560,000 barrels per day in May as OPEC output fell to 1.049 million bpd below quota ~~~~~~~ OPEC’s Report on Global Oil for May Tuesday of this week saw the release of OPEC’s June Oil Market Report, which includes details on OPEC & global oil data […]

Teacher with $300M of Student Loan Debt Says $10,000 is a Drop in the Bucket

“Teacher With $303K Student Debt Says Biden’s $10K Relief Plan Not Enough” (businessinsider.com) Finally, I am seeing various publications (Business Insider, etc.) writing about accrued interest on student loans. Interest on the principal and also the interest. This particular article also touches upon Deferred Student Loans and the resulting paying the interest first before touching […]

Tariffs and Inflation

Tariffs and Inflation Kevin Quinn, Econospeak  Jason Furman and Janet Yellen have both suggested that cutting Trump’s tariffs would be anti-inflationary. But most economists agree that the incidence of the tariffs is for the most part on US consumers, not foreign suppliers (pace the treasonous and ignorant former president, who crowed about all the revenues we […]

What We Are Missing in the Hearings

I am disappointed in the reporting on these Hearings and the Hearings themselves. This is the second time people are applauding statements from the January 6th Committee Hearing. In this Hearing we experienced former 4th COA Judge Luttig slowly, carefully, and legally make a statement on conversations he had concerning Pence and what trump was […]

RJS: EIA US Oil Supply and Disposition Report

Summary: US oil supplies at a 17½ year low. SPR at a 35 year low after the SPR largest withdrawal on record. Gasoline supplies at a 6-month low. ~~~~~~~~ The Latest US Oil Supply and Disposition Data from the EIA US oil data from the US Energy Information Administration for the week ending June 10th show that […]

Simone Gold Goes to Jail

Interesting story popped up on MedPage Today. “America’s Frontline Doctors’ Simone Gold Gets Prison Time” On March 3, 2022 Ms. Simone Gold filed a brief confessing (line 10) in United States of America v Simone Gold to being inside the U.S. Capitol on January 6, and regretting going inside. In a story run on January […]

Weekly Indicators for June 13 – 17 at Seeking Alpha

Weekly Indicators for June 13 – 17 at Seeking Alpha  – by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is up at Seeking Alpha. My paradigm is: first the long leading indicators turn. Then the short leading indicators turn. Then the coincident indicators turn. Finally the lagging indicators turn. For months I have been documenting the downturn […]

Positive Production Points to Continued Economic Expansion in May

Positive production print points to continued economic expansion in May The usual suspects are out, claiming that a recession has either already started or is imminent. Well, the big reason I call industrial production the King of Coincident Indicators is because empirically is the one whose peaks and troughs coincide most definitively with NBER recession […]

Downturn in housing permits and starts in May

An across the board downturn for housing permits and starts in May Housing permits and starts declined across the board in May. In the past year there has been a unique divergence between permits and starts due to construction supply shortages.  This has been reflected in the number of housing units authorized but not started […]