Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Betting against the Trump tariffs

The right of Trump to impose tariffs at will and without Congressional approval is headed to the SCOTUS. What’s the odds that the tariffs will be overturned? Turns out there’s a market in tariff refunds if the SCOTUS rules against Trump: “In July the US government brought in $29.6 billion in tariff revenue compared to […]

Make China Great Again

Trump slapped a 50% tariff on Brazilian coffee. Guess that will show them! “China has approved 183 new Brazilian coffee companies to export products to the Chinese market, according to a social media post of the Chinese embassy in Brazil on Saturday. “The measure, a boon to local exporters after the United States government’s announcement […]

Tariffs: Money for nothing?

The dollars are rolling in to the federal government coffers from tariffs. And Trump is claiming victory. “Indeed, Trump has routinely cited the tariff revenue as evidence that his trade approach, which has sowed uncertainty and begun to increase prices for consumers, is a win for the United States. Members of his administration have argued […]

Scott Bessent says the quiet part out loud

Speaking at a Breitbart event, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent crowed about the new “Trump Accounts” in which the the parents or employer can contribute up to $5000/year. The funds are to be structured like IRAs and must be invested in portfolios tied to U.S. stock indexes. Quoth Bessent: “In a way, it is a backdoor […]

Been there, done that

One of the icons of right-wing fairytale economics is the Laffer Curve. It purported to show that if taxes were raised too high, the tax income would fall. Casual inspection revealed that there were no labels on the ordinate or abscissa, so it was impossible to say at what level of taxation “too high” occurred. […]

Trump wants to end capital gains tax on home sales

Recently, Trump said he was “thinking about” ending capital gains taxes on home sales. Who benefits? “The biggest beneficiaries of such a change will likely be longtime homeowners in the country’s more expensive housing markets. “Removing or increasing the capital gains limit — currently $250,000 for single homeowners or $500,000 for married couples — on […]

MAHA

Look, if they were serious about making America healthy, here is a short list of things Congress and the Administration can do: • restore and expand Medicaid benefits; • restore and expand SNAP; • eliminate the Medicare Advantage plans; • support and expand childhood vaccinations; • replace our current nightmare of private insurance with single-payer, […]

Not Accepting Federal Funding to Prevent Appearing as Being Bought by the Feds

Federal Funding and Politics, and Safety? When does the latter out-weigh the former? A Texas county devastated by deadly flooding earlier this month had rejected federal funds in 2021. Funds that could have helped install a flood warning system. However, local officials and residents were arguing they didn’t want to be “bought” by the Biden administration. As far back as […]