Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

From an online comment thread at the NYT

“Meg”: Look, the reason Chinese cars are affordable is that they are subsidized by the Chinese government. Heavily. Removing import restrictions on these cars would devastate the American car industry. We are talking hundreds of thousands of jobs lost. How about instead we have the American government subsidize affordable cars here, or return to requiring […]

Stock market at new highs

“Stock market at new highs, even with Strait of Hormuz still closed. What is Wall Street thinking?!?”  – by New Deal democrat As I type this, there are two particularly salient facts:  1. Although the US and Iran are not lobbing bombs at one another at the moment, the Strait of Hormuz is still closed.  2. […]

Long-Term Care Costs Drain the Middle Class

Grabbed one section out of a longer piece by the Roosevelt Institute on Long Term Care. I am betting many Baby Boomers lack such. I also suspect they have no other resource either. Not a difficult read. III. Long-Term Care Depletes Assets for Middle-Class Americans and Contributes to Widening Wealth Inequality, Roosevelt Institute For millions […]

March existing home sales demonstrate a new equilibrium in the housing market

 – by New Deal democrat Sometimes there just isn’t much drama in economic numbers, and that was certainly the case for this month’s edition of existing home sales. As a mild refresher, even though they constitute about 90% of all housing sales, existing sales are not nearly so important as new home sales, since the latter […]

Healthcare Costs a Partial Discussion

This is a much longer report than the three charts I am showing below. Charts 3, 5, and 8 get to the issues at hand. At least, I believe so. To me, I do not believe there is any politics involved in deciding whether healthcare is important. It is important and should be readily available […]

Democrats State Trump’s Economic Policies Will Cause Damage to US Manufacturing

Democrats believe Trump’s Tariff Policies resulted in the loss of jobs in manufacturing. Democrats also estimate a reduction in manufacturing investment growth by an average of 13 percent per year. Joint Economic Committee – Minority Party. “Uncertainty From Trump’s Tariffs Derails U.S. Manufacturing in Both the Short and Long Term,” WASHINGTON – The Joint Economic […]

The Big Picture overview of the economy: the oil shock may be the proverbial straw that breaks the camel’s back

– by New Deal democrat Today I want to step back from the daily data and give you my Big Picture overview of the economy, particularly because Friday’s inflation report has materially changed an important component. To begin with, as I have been saying off and on for months, the economy has been essentially flat, and […]

“spending on the military and spending on social programs”

EconoFact Weekend Reading: Guns vs. Butter Programs The phrase “Guns vs. Butter” is used to illustrate the choice a government must make between spending on the military and spending on social programs. President Trump’s recently released 2027 budget proposal tilts towards guns and away from butter. It calls for a 44 percent increase in defense spending, boosting it to $1.5 trillion, while reducing non-defense spending by 10%. […]

New Deal democrats Weekly Indicators for April 6 – 10 at Seeking Alpha

 – by New Deal democrat While inflation and interest rates took a whack at some of the data, most of the financial-related series (like the yield curve in the bond market and credit conditions) remain very positive. And consumer spending, likely by the uppermost income groups, actually posted one of its very best YoY comparisons in […]

Very low jobless claims continue

– by New Deal democrat Jobless claims, along with stock market prices and upscale consumer spending (and recently, manufacturing orders) are one of the few important metrics holding up the economy. And the short summary of this morning’s data is: the new regime of very low claims continued. Initial claims did rise 16,000 to a still […]