Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Claim to Promote Affordable Housing

Two Trump (who else?) executive orders were issued in March (2026) which basically cause minority borrower additional hoops to jump through or road blocks to loans. In fact, the claim by this administration, the removal these mortgage protections will promote access to mortgages and remove barriers. The National Fair Housing Alliance® us claiming the opposite […]

Two manufacturing reports show increased expansion, but with a nasty side of inflation

– by New Deal democrat One of the things I used to harp on was that many forecasters make the mistake of simply taking an existing trend and projecting it forward. Often it is paired with the idea of “all things being equal,” i.e., that there won’t be countertrends in other sectors of the economy. […]

A Couple of Weeks Ago . . . About Oil

This Krugman commentary is from the last week of April. It touches upon the Middle East, the consequences of attacking Iran, and oil. In other words, it is still relevant to what is happening. A good recital of how we got to where we are today. All due to Trump’s neediness to be the man […]

April retail sales: consumers may be switching to “wait and see” mode

 – by New Deal democrat Consumer spending is about 70% of the economy, and retail sales is our first wide measure of that spending. For the second month in a row, this morning’s update for April was unsurprisingly dominated by what happened at gas stations.  Nominally, total retail sales rose 0.5% in April, But after […]

Gas prices and elections

I’ll admit that gas prices at the pump have no significant effect on me. I live close to everything I need to be in person (food, healthcare), and I drive a sub-compact fuel-efficient car. I combine trips and keep my tires inflated. The reality is that oil prices affect much more than your personal mobility. […]

How mass immigration raids might explain the historic lows in jobless claims

– by New Deal democrat I want to write an extended discussion of the April retail sales report released this morning, to tease out the effect of the spike in gas prices, but first let me do my usual weekly update on jobless claims. These have historically been a good short leading indicator for the economy, […]

Growing National Debt

Talking national debt. “Paying interest on a growing debt. not spent on education, healthcare, roads and bridges, social safety nets, or (if we actually needed more spending on it) national defense.” “Psst: What No One Will Tell You About the National Debt (But I Will),” Robert Reich You really need to know this . . . The […]

What the Consumer Price(s) Index for All Urban Consumers is Reporting Today

Brief Four minute read with graphs and tables. The Consumer Price(s) Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in April, after rising 0.9 percent in March. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported May 12, 2026. The biggies here? Energy rose 3.8 percent in April, accounting for over […]

April CPI report shows further surge in gas and electricity prices, raises “yellow flag” recession caution

– by New Deal democrat As almost universally anticpated, the April CPI continued to reflect the big increase in gas prices – although it didn’t pack quite the wallop that March did. Headline CPI increased 0.6%, following March’s +0.9%, causing the YoY% gain to increase to 3.8%.  Meanwhile the core measure increased 0.4%, causing the YoY% […]