Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Intel and Trump Administrative Reach Historic Agreement

“Intel and Trump Administration Reach Historic Agreement to Accelerate American Technology and Manufacturing Leadership,” Intel Newsroom SANTA CLARA, Calif.– Intel Corporation today announced an agreement with the Trump Administration to support the continued expansion of American technology and manufacturing leadership. Under terms of the agreement, the United States government will make an $8.9 billion investment […]

New Deal democrats Weekly Indicators for August 18 – 22

 – by New Deal democrat My “Weekly Indicators” post is up at Seeking Alpha. There were no big changes this week, but what continues to stick out in the data as far as I am concerned is just how strong consumer spending continues to be: weekly retail spending was up nearly 6% YoY, and restaurant reservations – […]

Lowe’s and The Home Depot . . .

Weathering Q1 Storms and Looking to the Horizon One always wonder how these mega hardware stores are doing in a not-so-great economy. I suspect the tariffs will impact some of the products. If anything, the on and off tariffs, 10% one day and 20% a week later must throw their planning off. Pay less and […]

Changing Cost Environment and Frustration

Confronting the Cost-of-Living Crisis – Roosevelt Institute Perhaps, you remember during the pandemic the pricing of food did increase as businesses did slow down. I do not recall much missing from the food shelves either. There were small changes in packaging which did impact pricing in that you paid the same amount for less. The […]

The rebalancing of the housing market continues, as existing home price increases have halted, and inventory finally exceeds 2020 levels

  – by New Deal democrat The housing market, for all of its economic importance, tends to move as slow as molasses. This is especially true as to prices, where sellers are loathe to realize a loss, even when compared to hypothetical gains they could have had by selling earlier. The pandemic, of course, through […]

If you Have Not Experienced it yet? Expect Slower Mail Delivery

This commentary by Steve Hutkins outlines the plan Louis Dejoy put in place as the US Postmaster General. I am not too sure where the plan is at in actions at this time. If you are experiencing slower mail delivery, then it has been implemented in your area. Citified areas are less likely to experience […]

Jobless claims suggest our recent good news has been more unresolved seasonal quirks

AB: This is an excellent NDd recital on a not so good jobless claim report. Employment is not improving and as NDd states it appears to be remaining the same. The tariff game Tr__p is playing is not helping the economy and is just another burden in cost which we will all pay. This is […]

No Change in the Fed Rate

Federal Reserve officials believe risk of inflation outpaced labor concerns, Minutes Since Tr__p has been fumbling around with tariffs July 2025: Majority of Federal Reserve officials believe the risk of higher inflation outpaces concerns about the state of the labor market. This is according to the latest minutes released by the central bank. Inflation and the health […]

Real nonsupervisory payrolls and income in danger of tariff-driven stagnation

 – by New Deal democrat Let’s take a look at the “real” purchasing power of average working and middle class Americans. The July jobs report showed that average hourly earnings for nonsupervisory workers rose a little under 0.3% (blue in the graph below). Consumer inflation (red) rose 0.2%, so “real” average hourly earnings rose 0.1%. […]

Housing remains recessionary. Why hasn’t one happened yet?

 – by New Deal democrat The post pandemic period has been an exception to many past relationships. This morning’s data on housing construction raises the issue as to whether housing is going to be included in those exceptions as well. That’s because the data has been classically recessionary for a number of months, and yet the […]