Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Thailand Taking on US Tariffs

Many of these companies in Thailand have contracts with US automotive manufacturers. Their contract more likely than not are set on a fixed tariff with little room for expansion. They will be turning to the big three and also the Tier1s both of whom buy componentry, wire harnesses etc. under contracts. I can see both […]

National Healthcare Spending Briefly Reviewed

Briefly; Data pulled from HealthAffairs. I was curious as to how much healthcare costs have grown in the United States. As the detail from the article shows we have been experiencing costs increasing at 7+ percent the last two years. This is up from 4 and 5% in preceding years. I have not checked it, […]

December personal income and spending: on the very cusp of recessionary

 – by New Deal democrat Personal income and spending are among the most important monthly indicators of all, because they give us a detailed look at consumption by the broad range of American households. And since consumption leads employment, they also give us an idea of what is likely to happen with regard to jobs in […]

AI data center and electricity supply production as drivers of industrial production and capital goods spending

– by New Deal democrat There is more and more accumulating evidence that manufacturing, at least in the aggregate, is something close to Booming. That message was apparent in yesterday’s durable goods orders report for December. While the headline number (blue in the graph below) declined -1.4%, the three month average for this very volatile […]

SCOTUS overturns Trump tariffs

“The justices, divided 6-3 held that Trump’s aggressive approach to tariffs on products entering the United States from across the world was not permitted under a 1977 law called the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA).” *snip* “The decision does not affect all of Trump’s tariffs, leaving in place ones he imposed on steel and […]

Bearing the Cost of Tariffs

Good explanation on who pays the tariffs imposed upon imports by Trump. Who Bears the Cost of Tariffs? Liberty Street Economics Mary Amiti, Chris Flanagan, Sebastian Heise, and David E. Weinstein The next chart shows how global supply chains shifted in response to the higher tariffs. We plot import shares by country (or region) for […]

Holding the Newly Built and Paid for by Canada Bridge Hostage

How many more times will the fool in Washington D,C, embarrass Americans to the rest of the world??? “Anatomy of Ignorance — and Corruption,” Jack Lessenberry Donald Trump and the Morouns, owners of the Ambassador Bridge (Editor’s Note: If you’ve been reading me regularly, you know I’ve written twice recently about Trump’s outrageous move to prevent […]

Presidents’ Day week jobless claims pose a quandary

– by New Deal democrat Later this morning I’ll discuss yesterday’s positive durable goods orders release, and in that context, I’ll also have more to say about the likely reason why industrial production also improved so much. Tomorrow we’ll get personal income and spending, and new home sales, both from December, as well as the […]

Worried About AI?

J.P. McJefferson talking Artificial Intelligence. “’We’ve been here before.’ Every generation has its technological scare story.” Photo by Steve Johnson on Unsplash Why Should I Be Worried About AI? J.P. McJefferson Thoughts For many people, the current anxiety about artificial intelligence feels overblown. They say, “We’ve been here before.” Every generation has its technological scare story. In the […]

Global Economy and the United States

Our fearless leader (who never had much to fear in his lifetime) is recasting the economics of this nation more to his liking. There may(?) have been a time year (decades?) ago when doing so would not be much of an issue. This due to the United States economic size and power globally after WWII. […]