Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

The V28 Model Balances the Differences Between Medicare Advantage and Traditional Medicare Plans

This is not new news. It goes back for years. Medicare Advantage costs more than Medicare. Much of this is due to price setting. Advantage plans will receive overpayments of approximately $76 billion Center for American Progress above what the same care would cost in traditional FFS Medicare. This is nothing new. It has been […]

We must be better

“In 2017, Roy Moore was accused of sexual misconduct with teenage girls, including one who was fourteen at the time of the alleged assault. Nine women came forward. The reporting was extensive and documented. The Republican Party of Alabama endorsed him anyway. The President of the United States endorsed him. He lost by less than […]

The Trump slippery slope

My postdoc mentor used to say “We don’t compare ourselves to the worst, we compare ourselves to the best.” Does that aphorism apply in politics? “POLITICO REPORTED ON MONDAY AFTERNOON that Graham Platner’s ex-girlfriend said he “forced her to have sex with him nearly five years ago despite her repeated objections.” Immediately after the story […]

Quote of the day

“Guns don’t kill people. People kill people.” Well no shit, Sherlock. We want mandatory safety classes for people, not guns. We want more background checks of people, not guns. We want stricter negligence penalties imposed on people, not guns. If you’re stupid enough to think activists are pissed off at guns, you’re too stupid to […]

The economically weighted ISM indexes for June show continued growth, equipoise in employment, and still strong inflation at the producer level

 – by New Deal democrat The economically weighted ISM manufacturing + services indexes have become one of my favorite datapoints. In particular, in the past year they have been an excellent dashboard for the state of the US economy as a whole, both as a coincident and short leading indicator. Last summer they accurately suggested that […]

“taking payment in yuan and using those yuan to buy Chinese goods”

Sounds like a strategy to me. Been to China multiple times. Interesting place to go. We would fly in Beijing. The plant manager’s vehicle along with two drivers would pick us up and take us to the plant in Tianjin. We would spend a few days there listening to the issues, taking notes, and discuss […]

Those Other People . . .

A couple of commentaries by Robert Reich. Some history on a new candidate that is different than what is usually picked. This World War II PSA Warned Us About Fascism – Robert Reich Robert Reich: I came across this Public Service Announcement produced by the U.S. government in 1945. It seems apt today, on the […]

Podcast or Read? “Abraham Lincoln and the Role of Government in the Economy”

I read Michael Klein’s (executive editor of EconoFact) conversation with Roger Lowenstein on the role of government in the economy. It is not terribly long. Maybe 10-15 minutes in listening and a bit longer in reading for me. I like to read as I dwell on what I read. Then I will go back and […]

The Stench of Corruption and Dictator-worship is Over-powering.

As you read Paul Krugman’s commentary on the Slaughter decision by SCOTUS, it is not that hard to understand why he is concerned about the results of the SCOTUS decision. I typically might say (in a normal situation) we could expect a president given this power would decide in a manner benefiting citizens. Not this […]

New Deal democrat’s Weekly Indicators: Simply Stellar Consumer Spending June 29 – July 4

Weekly Indicators: Still Strong Spending, Tepid Tax Payments Two cross-currents I mentioned in my long piece Friday were very much in evidence in the high frequency data this week: huge gains in aggregate YoY consumer spending, and very weak withholding tax collections. My take on this is that the top end of the income distribution […]