Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Project 2025 . . .

July 28, 2023 in g’da said Reprise from a Thirsty Thor’sday link. Homeless on the High Desert, Ten Bears ‘Battle plan’: How the far right will dismantle climate programs A coalition of conservative groups has assembled a plan to systematically target most of the federal government’s work on climate and clean energy. It proposes a sweeping deconstruction of government […]

Cities need to secure their drinking water

Another city and maybe the country having issues securing safe drinkables water for its citizens. Here in the southwest, I do not believe we will be too far behind Uruguay. Still planning to build and building before the Federal governments says no. Cities need to secure their drinking water, The one-handed economist, David Zetland DL […]

July jobs report: almost across the board deterioration in leading sectors

July jobs report: almost across the board deterioration in leading sectors  – by New Deal democrat My focus remains on whether jobs growth continues to decelerate, and whether the leading indicators, particularly manufacturing and construction jobs, as well as the unemployment rate (which leads going into recessions) have meaningfully deteriorated. Almost all of these items […]

Jobless claims: a good example of why my forecasting discipline demands a confirmed trend

Jobless claims: a good example of why my forecasting discipline demands a confirmed trend  – by New Deal democrat Initial jobless claims for the last week of July rose 6,000 to 227,000. The 4 week average decreased -5,500 to 228,250. Continuing claims, with a one week lag, rose 21,000 to 1.7 million: The YoY% change […]

Free Medicine Distribution Impact on Health Care Costs

This is an abbreviated version of a Canadian trial which examines whether eliminating out-of-pocket costs would improve the health of people taking the medications by making drugs less costly. The greater impact was amongst lower income participants who may not take drugs as prescribed to lengthen a refill timetable. The elimination of out-of-pocket medication costs […]

June’s JOLTS report: slow progress towards a new equilibrium

June’s JOLTS report: slow progress towards a new equilibrium  – by New Deal democrat Yesterday’s JOLTS report for June captured a labor market that continues to move towards a new equilibrium, mainly via a gradual decline in job openings compared with labor availability. In other words, for the umpteenth time, “deceleration.” Job openings and actual hires […]

Manufacturing and construction give very mixed signals to start Second Half 2023 data

Manufacturing and construction give very mixed signals to start Second Half 2023 data  – by New Deal democrat As usual, the month’s data started out with the ISM manufacturing report for last month, and construction spending for the month before last. Additionally, I am going to take a look at motor vehicle production, because I […]

Healthcare in the US from a Global Perspective. Are we that good?

AB: This a good coverage on healthcare in the US as compared to other countries. It is long. It also has many charts and graphs rather than words. This is why I posted this at Angry Bear. It is easy to grasp the implications. U.S. Health Care from a Global Perspective, 2022, Commonwealth Fund, Munira […]

Dow Theory says transportation and production of goods should move in tandem

Dow Theory says transportation and production of goods should move in tandem; what is its message now?  – by New Deal democrat Partly because mid year data is now being completed, and partly to re-examine my forecasts, I’ve been conducting a top-to-bottom re-check of my metrics. One thing that seems very important is that, despite […]

New Deal democrats Weekly Indicators for July 24 – 28

Weekly Indicators for July 24 – 28 at Seeking Alpha  – by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is up at Seeking Alpha. While there continues to be evidence of the normal progression of weakness from long leading to short leading to coincident indicators, there has also been an anomalous major positive resurgence in some […]