Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Marine Drones, Jamming and Full Frontal Nudity

Hah got your attention there. The connection is Austrian-American actress Hedy Lamarr pionere of Cinematic nudity, Marine drone technology and the anti jamming anti interference technology on which WiFi is based. Notable for the first Hollywood (update: Kaleberg notes that the scene was in “Ecstasy” and that Ecstasy was a Czech production) full frontal nudity […]

Review of “Independent People” by Halldór Laxness.

Based on a recent article in New York Review of Books, I read the novel “Independent People” by the Icelandic writer Halldór Laxness. The book was originally published in two volumes in 1934 and 1935. Laxness won the Nobel Prize in literature in 1955, in part on the strength of this book. Like Moby-Dick, I […]

Is Performative Speech Protected by the FIrst Amendment?

It is agreed that freedom of speech does not imply freedom to make whatever performative utterance one chooses. It just isn’t agreed what “performative” means. Some (of whom you are the first I ever heard do so ever in my life) use it in this sense. The usage condemnation is performative when, for example a […]

Unresolved seasonality obscures cautionary YoY comparisons

Initial jobless claims: unresolved seasonality obscures cautionary YoY comparisons  – by New Deal democrat For the last few weeks, I have been highlighting that there is likely some unresolved post-pandemic seasonality in the initial claims numbers. That certainly looked like the case this week, as a sharp decline mirrored a similar sharp decline 52 weeks […]

Pocket Doctor

Siri: “Hey Jill, how are you? Anything you would like to talk about?” Jill: “I fell while hiking today.” Siri: “Were you hurt?” Jill: “Left ankle is somewhat swollen and sore from jamming the foot into a rock while trying to stay upright.” Siri: “Sorry to hear that, Jill. Any idea why you fell?” Jill: […]

Stock market and unemployment as an easy and timely coincident recession indicator

Using the stock market and unemployment as an easy and timely coincident recession indicator  – by New Deal democrat My fellow forecaster Bob Dieli has a measure he calls “DeltaDelta,” basically an average of the YoY% change in the stock market and the unemployment rate (which hopefully he won’t mind me mentioning here). It called to mind […]

Donald Trump isn’t the only guy who has trouble with stealth technology and wavelengths

There has been much laughter over the fact that Donald Trump has repeatedly given the impression that he thinks that stealth technology works at the wavelength of visible light, so stealthy aircraft are invisible. He isn’t the only one who is saying silly things based on ignoring wavelength. The technology used by the F117, F22, […]