…that “Housing IS the Business Cycle,” highlighting how downturns in the housing sector tended to lead recessions by an average of 7 quarters. For today’s purposes, though, I want to…

January jobs report: annual revisions clear up some big discrepancies, but monthly numbers are close to pre-recessionary  – by New Deal democrat My theme for the past several years as…

The Dodd–Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act passage in 2010 was a legislative response to the financial crisis of 2007–08 and the subsequent Great Recession. The CFPB in…

…reading, and I will get rewarded with a little pocket change for the effort. —- And now, this week’s special update. My “quick and dirty” recession indicator consists of two…

…a recession +/- 2 months. The only qualification is that “jobless recoveries” show up as continued negative comparisons.  But when inflation increases past aggregate compensation, that marks an imminent recession;…

…does identify rentals taking as high as 60% of income. The great Recession from 2007 to 2016 did have an impact on Homeownership. Those who leaned heavily into debt to…

…the beginning of most of the recessions in the past 50+ years, although in two cases – 1991 and the Great Recession – they were down 50% or more. The…

…is on the cusp of a stagflationary recession. The Bonddad Blog Regional Fed manufacturing indexes average in April is recessionary, services on the cusp, Angry Bear by New Deal democrat…

…to spend in real terms, they are likely to cut back spending, and that retrenching brings about a recession. First, here is the entire historical series. Note it is presented…

With the (roughly) 11% decline in US equities year-to-date, talk of a US recession has resurfaced. Through mid August, the high frequency economic indicators point to further weakness, rather than…