– by New Deal democrat With the shutdown of the official government sources, along with the regional Fed indexes, the ISM manufacturing and services indexes have become especially important. To recap, because of manufacturing’s diminished importance to the general economy, the services index has become significantly more important. For forecasting purposes, I assign a 75% weight […]

Such has been going on for decades. Some history on how much of this evolved historically on the planning side. Equipment efficiencies made planning easier and decreased costs. I started to work in industry late seventies and did so until 2020-something. Fresh out of the service in 71, three years to gain a math-driven BA […]

I just finished reading “Atoms to ashes: A global history of nuclear disasters” by Harvard history professor Serhii Plokhy. The book provides detailed accounts of six major nuclear accidents: • The Castle Bravo Test (1954), a hydrogen bomb test on the Bikini Atoll that was more powerful than expected; • The Kyshtym Disaster (1957), a […]

Prof. Heather Cox Richardson’ brief rundown on what took place on October 18 “No Kings” rally all over the United States. Thousands or as Prof. Heather called it, millions of people turned out in the United States and globally in support of Democracy. Texas Governor deployed the National Guard JIC he could find a way […]

I was wondering where Joel my fellow writer was today. Normally when I get up out here in Arizona, I see his words. I thought perhaps he was ill. Not so . . . As I read one of his comments elsewhere from yesterday, Joel is out doing what many of us should be doing […]

The same as colleges adjusting to less students so it goes in some school districts. It is not like population is shrinking overall. The US population is still growing in spite of today’s politics. People are not coming to these communities. “Kansas’ Smallest School District Prepares to Close in Warning Sign for Rural Communities,” The […]

The appointments of Hegseth, Noem, Kennedy, Patel, et al weren’t mistakes; they were part of a plan to destroy America so that ‘they’ can rebuild it in their image under their god and the Heritage Foundation in memory of Joseph Coors, Paul Weyrich, and Lewis Powell in the interest of wealth almighty.   Something the […]

Back in the mid-80s I started a personal project of reading history. I was motivated by the desire to understand the differences between my world view and that of my father’s generation. I started with the Vietnam war. I got a draft card at 18 and my number was pulled when I was 19, but […]

In a universe of probabilities where mistakes can’t be undone, decision makers must do their best to get it right; give us their best guess based on best thinking based on the best information available to them in order to jigger the odds as much as possible in favor of a good outcome. In a […]

I know that Trump news is generally demoralizing and frustrating. But for me, when we talk about it openly and share our thoughts, it makes it less overwhelming because we have others who are just as outraged. Classic horror movies love to have the characters split up to search for the killer so they can […]