…0.1 degrees. Like previous records of its kind, that news was quickly characterized as the hottest day in millennia since the peak of the last interglacial period, about 125,000 years…

…(vs. a pre-pandemic peak of 7.594 million). Actual hires (red) declined -314,000, or -5.6% to a new post-pandemic low of 5.341 million (vs. a pre-pandemic peak of 6.0 million). Voluntary…

…regions holding steady. These trends might signal that we are nearing the peak of the summer surge. Nationally, major clinical metrics remained low for influenza and RSV in week 29,…

…have tended to peak simultaneously or close thereto. By contrast, the number of employees in building construction has not peaked until 6-12 months later (presumably, it takes a few months…

…peak level and lower than where it was 12 months ago. Note: These are views about what the Fed should do, not what the Fed will do. Temporary factors may…

…2023, troughing at -3.0% in May, comparisons accelerated almost relentlessly to a YoY peak of 5.8% in May of this year. Since then the YoY comparisons have decelerated to 4.1%…

…states and D.C. were below their previous peaks, Seasonally Adjusted. The largest seasonally adjusted declines from the recent peak were in Louisiana (-2.5%), Arkansas (-2.1%), D.C. (-2.0), Florida (-1.9%), Texas…

r.j. sigmund on Covid US Covid metrics were again down sharply, but the CDC said it now expects to see a winter Covid peak higher than the summer peak, similar…

…home exploded during the pandemic. While it has fallen somewhat since the peak months of the shutdown period, the number of people working remotely is nearly 20 million more than the pre-pandemic…

…its October 2022 peak, and is now down -14.4% from that peak.  This is very important, because in the past it has declined on average -15.1% and by a median…