…of this year, before seasonally declining: With seasonal adjustments are not made, my rule of thumb is that a peak (or trough) occurs when the YoY% change is less than…

…continued to be negative, as real private residential fixed investment declined -1.3% in the Quarter: Real Private Residential Fixed Investment This means housing is down -15.3% from its 2021 peak,…

…make a new high, while the latter is still slightly below its February 2023 peak: S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index (CSUSHPISA) On a YoY basis, both are…

…it is possible that July was an expansion peak, with at least a brief shallow recession lasting through the government shutdown. On the other hand – again as I noted…

…5% from there through July of this year, before seasonally declining: With seasonal adjustments are not made, my rule of thumb is that a peak (or trough) occurs when the…

…decline in jobless claims since last summer’s peak strongly suggests that the 4.5% unemployment rate in December was also the peak for that number. A rate steady at 4.4% or…

…peak of 41.6 hours. Manufacturing jobs rose 5,000. Truck driving jobs declined -4,300. Construction jobs rose 33,000. Residential construction jobs, which are even more leading, rose 300. Goods producing jobs…

…Andreessen only thinks his college memories of life in Champaign, Ill. But they’re really of life in Palo Alto. Or maybe Cambridge, Mass. And how did that Wisconsin native even…

…been there or near it for at least sixteen years, which is probably two-thirds of Greg S’s life. You might think he would notice. The NRA—most recently seen attacking the…

…It’s impossible as the groupings are not determinate of life and living. I will tell you that my physiology professor stated that the determinate of life is a membrane. So,…