Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Strongly positive ISM services report for February gives the best economically weighted reading for the economy in a year, (but also with a big dose of inflation)

 – by New Deal democrat If Monday’s ISM manufacturing report was good (but with a dose of inflation), today’s ISM services report for February was even better (but also with a dose of inflation). Together they negative the likelihood of an economic downturn in the next several months (geopolitical idiocy aside).  Let’s take a look. […]

Think About What We Could Do with the Money!

“War Is Expensive for the Little People” – Paul Krugman March 3, 2026 On Sunday, according to the U.S. military, Kuwaiti forces shot down three U.S. F-15s in a “friendly fire” incident. Fortunately, the crews were able to safely eject and survived. The sad truth is that such incidents are common in modern war. One of the […]

11 cents Price increase in Gasoline per gallon over night in the US, AAA reports

New Deal democrat’s commentary earlier today. “What is the effect of Oil and Gasoline Prices on the US economy?” Angry Bear. I guess I am not surprised to see gasoline market prices and oil prices start to increase. That is expected even if there is no reason for it to jump today or even months […]

Versatility of conviction, big law extortion edition

TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) was coined to describe Trump’s flip-flops on tariffs, but he’s flip-flopped on other notorious threats. “The Trump administration plans to abandon its defense of the president’s executive orders sanctioning several law firms, according to people familiar with the matter. “The Justice Department as soon as Monday was expected to drop […]

What is the effect of Oil and Gasoline Prices on the US economy?

If you have been reading and earlier commentary Oil Prices are Up, you will get a pretty idea of what is happening with Oil Prices since Trump decided to bomb Iran. Just to point out, here are the top three countries by oil reserves. Top 3 Breakdown:  1. Venezuela ($\sim$303 billion barrels), 2. Saudi Arabia […]

Oil Prices are Up

Gasoline around us is still high and about $3.25. What are you seeing for price per gallon of gasoline? They keep talking about a drop. We have not seen it. Charts and graphs emphasizing what is happening with oil, where US oil comes from (imports) and goes to (exports). See the first chart for the […]

Schrödinger’s nukes

There’s absolutely no evidence that Iran has, or has ever possessed, nuclear weapons. Indeed, the Obama Administration negotiated an agreement whereby Iran agreed not to develop nuclear weapons or even enrich uranium to the purity necessary to create a fission bomb. Trump tore up that agreement, but there’s no evidence that Iran made any progress […]

DEATH OF TRUTH and SOCIAL SECURITY (4)

Dale Coberly talking with AI (Artificial Intelligence) about Social Security. The Committee for Responsible Federal Budget has not been buying into Dale’s plan. Instead, they believe in cuts to Social Security rather than small (tens of 1 percent) increases in withholding. They have it in their mind that little can be done to keep Social […]

ISM manufacturing In February positive, but with a major helping of inflation

 – by New Deal democrat Most official data series remain about one month behind their normal schedule, despite the government shutdown having ended over three months ago. Thus the ISM manufacturing and services reports, as well as the regional Fed manufacturing and services reports, remain the most timely overall barometers of the economy. In the past […]