Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

“Gap between the boom Trump predicted and the volatile results He Produced”

If you are reading this, New Deal democrat predicted 2025 would be a wash in labor growth and the economy. No Boom to be experienced in any case for 2025. And 2026 may not be so great either. “Trump’s ‘roaring economy’ meets a rough start to 2026 with job losses, rising gas prices and uncertainty.” […]

“growing productivity renders the expenditure of labour time increasingly unnecessary”

Tom is discussing the battle between Labour and Machinery. As manual machinery was replaced by NC and then CNC, Labor did not reap anything more for it. Instead, Labour was displaced. Keep one thing in mind. Direct Labor in manufacturing is the smallest component in the cost of manufacturing. The productivity gains Tom speaks to, […]

January personal income and spending: treading water, leading metrics sinking

 – by New Deal democrat Before I get to the main event, a couple of quick comments on the other data released so far this morning:  1. Real GDP as revised only grew at 0.7% annualized in the 4th Quarter of last year. This is often, but by no means always, recessionary. And since there was […]

“divergence between higher-wealth, higher income consumers and their lower-wealth, lower-income counterparts”

Preliminary results from the February 2026 survey University of Michigan economics’ report does not see a dynamic economy for the overall nation. It portends gains for the upper income populace and not so much in store for the lower income brackets. Largest stockholders can look forward to a good year. Those further down, a not-so-great […]

Review of “McNamara at war”

I registered for the draft as a high school senior during the Vietnam war. At the time, you registered at 18, your lottery number was assigned at 19, and you were drafted at 20 if your number was low enough. In the event (a) my number was high enough that I wouldn’t get drafted and […]

“signs of both imminent recession and ‘green shoots’”

“Housing permits, starts, and construction: signs of both imminent recession and ‘green shoots’”  – by New Deal democrat This morning’s important data on housing construction contained two apparently contradictory trends: on the one hand, it continues to be – even more intensely – consistent with an imminent or ongoing recesssion. On the other hand, it suggests […]

What Has the World Received in Return for U.S. Efforts?

Summing it up as to what our current president is doing to make the United States and the rest of the world safer and economically better. Nothing, just worse, “Double Standard at the Top, When One Tremor Ripples Across the Globe, & The Quiet Crisis in America’s Living Rooms,” Kareem Takes on the News Summary:  […]

Trump’s latest threat is suicide for the US economy

Now, Trump is threatening to double down on his Iran disaster. “President Donald J. Trump threatened Friday to destroy Iran’s major oil terminal on Kharg Island if Tehran continued to obstruct shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.” Trump fancies himself as a deal-maker. Any deal-maker who can bankrupt a casino is a fool. This latest […]

End some of the Massive Tax Breaks Trump gave out in the One Big Ugly Bill to Fund Healthcare

The only solutions being offered up for healthcare in America are political, favoring industry and healthcare. The issue being this form of healthcare is too expensive. Time to take a step back. Merrill Goozner @ GoozNews, “A health care plan for the mid-terms” Americans say health care affordability is their number one pocketbook concern. In […]