Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

“6 tenths of 1 percent decrease in presidential approval”

AB: I can only wonder why there would be any decrease after we initiated a war with Iran. “The Atlanta Fed’s GDP Now tracker pointed to tepid 1.3% growth, with the economy already hampered by severe winter weather and rising energy costs. A slowing trend before the war-induced oil price shocks.” And the Trump administration […]

Very low jobless claims continue

– by New Deal democrat Jobless claims, along with stock market prices and upscale consumer spending (and recently, manufacturing orders) are one of the few important metrics holding up the economy. And the short summary of this morning’s data is: the new regime of very low claims continued. Initial claims did rise 16,000 to a still […]

Finally, John Kerry asked in-depth regarding Iran

Since the start of the war with Iran, I have been wondering why we had not seen an interview with John Kerry about this. I would have thought he would have been someone to talk to from the beginning. After all, he is most credited with the agreement we had with Iran before Trump did […]

Rearranging the Chairs in the US Economy

A rewrite of a much shorter story about state and local funding and what Trump’s Beautiful Bill (or piece of garbage) does to states. Much of Trump’s cuts are meant to fund a new tax break for the upper 10% and 1% in income. Over ten years, The Big Beautiful Bill (BBB) will cut taxes for the […]

“Subsidies”

“Zetland’s Rule for Subsidies” The one-handed economist As you know, nothing exists until an academic puts their name on it. /s Thus, I reveal my creation — the ZRS! The government should only provide subsidies that anyone can access if they meet the eligibility criteria. Examples: The ZRS thus excludes subsidies to race, gender, religion, […]

Advances in cancer diagnosis

We’re used to thinking about DNA in containers: nuclei, mitochondria, bacteria, viral particles. But there’s lots of DNA pieces flowing through our bloodstream all the time. This cell-free DNA can be captured and analyzed, just like the DNA in sewage can be tested for COVID. “UCLA scientists have developed a simple and cost-effective blood test […]

Is Iran Blockage Impacting Global Oil? Some Detail . . .

Economic Information from Oil Price.com concerning reserves and pricing based on global interests and actions. In a bit of a flux right now. Not much stability and a lot of rent taking by the oil and gasoline industry. Some detail. More at the Oil Price site. “Oil Ignores Escalation, Logs Biggest Weekly Drop Since 2025” […]

As expected, March consumer inflation packed a (possibly recessionary) wallop

 – by New Deal democrat As anticipated, the March CPI packed a wallop, up 0.9% for the month and causing the YoY% gain to increase to 3.3%, while core CPI was a tame 0.2% with a YoY% gain of 2.6%. Because of the impact of that big number, I am departing from my usual format to […]

The Exit Coalition: A Bipartisan Chance to Defend the Institution

Photo by Louis Velazquez on Unsplash J.P. McJefferson Thoughts – J.P. McJefferson In the year marking the United States Semi quincentennial, dozens of members of Congress—from both parties—will quietly make a consequential decision: they will not return. Most coverage treats this as routine political churn—retirements, career moves, the normal rhythm of electoral life. But in a Congress defined […]