Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Trump’s Proposals Could Bankrupt a Vital and Popular Program Within Six Years

A bit of a rewrite of an article. The Social Security scandal Trump doesn’t want you to know about by James Downie MSNBC Something else Donald Trump doesn’t want you to know about and how it will impact you. This type of plan always comes out later and then everyone says; “well if I had […]

A Proposal to Address the Housing Crisis

by Bill McBride Calculated Risk News Letter Economist Adam Ozimek and John Lettieri (CEO, Economic Innovation Group) have a new proposal to address the housing crisis in the United States:  How the next president can solve America’s housing crisis U.S. housing costs are out of control. The median home for sale was rarely more than four times […]

Second Quarter 2024, U.S Manufacturing Report

I chose this particular period to present as it depicts the impact of pandemic. It also shows the results of President Biden’s economic stimulus targeting manufacturing. And yes, you can also see the impact of the FED on the economy and their actions to normalize growth. It is a simple read. Yes, there is some […]

Elon Musk can’t do arithmetic

Kevin Drum over at jabberwocking.com watched the Trump spectacle over at Madison Square Garden so we didn’t have to. He zeros in on Elon Musk: “Elon used to be smart enough to do simple addition, but he thinks we can cut “at least” $2 trillion from federal spending—which amounted to $6.1 trillion last year, not […]

New Deal democrats Weekly Indicators for October 21 – 25

– by New Deal democrat My “Weekly Indicators” post is up at Seeking Alpha. Ever since – and in response to – the really good jobs report early this month, interest rate yields on bonds have crept back up, giving back most of their summer gains. That puts some pressure on the long leading indicators. Also […]

The Administrative state

The plutocrats on the right want to dismantle the administrative state, so they say. Of course, their wealth derives directly from the fiction of private property and an administrative state is required to enforce that fiction. Their wealth is monetized in currency, which is another fiction that the administrative state holds a monopoly on. The […]

Taxes, Postage, and Medicare Updates

Initiative and Program Updates that have come into being in 2024 and also 2025 under the Biden Administration impacting Elderly Economics. The reporting is by AARP. Some of those who have passed into history that caught my eye too. Federal Income Tax Brackets for 2025 In the U.S. tax system, income tax rates are graduated, […]

Why has the inverted yield curve failed? A fundamentals-based explanation

– by New Deal democrat Prof. Menzie Chinn at Econbrowser, like me, is an Old School blogger, and like me, is focused on forecasting.  Yesterday he wrote a piece about supplementing the yield curve with a second condition, the private nonfinancial debt service ratio. Basically, what percent of income is needed to service debt. Doing […]

Rebalancing of the housing market, new home sales edition: sales increase, prices firm

– by New Deal democrat Yesterday we got the existing home sales portion of the rebalancing of the housing market, showing sales down further, and price growth attenuation. This morning, we got the new home slice, which was a virtual mirror image. As per usual, while new home sales are only about 10% of the […]

Economic Stimulus Over the Last Four Years and the Results of It

Yep! I think the people are correct though about the inflationary actions of Biden during the PANDEMIC when the nation shut down and people were not working. The administration should not have doled out money in multiple Economic Stimulus packages during the pandemic. All those deficit spending and inflation . . . oh my! We […]