Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Rolling up the welcome mat

About 475 workers, mostly South Korean nationals, were arrested at a Hyundai Motor car battery facility under construction in Georgia. The workers were shackled at the wrists, waist and ankles. The return of ca. 300 to South Korea has been negotiated. At a time when Trump is demanded the foreign companies invest more in the […]

New Deal democrats Weekly Indicators September 1- 5

 – by New Deal democrat My latest “Weekly Indicators” post is up at Seeking Alpha. The high frequency data continues to be buoyed by financial indicators as well as consumer spending, despite the weakness we saw in, among other things, Friday’s employment report. As usual, clicking over and reading will bring you up to the virtual […]

“We Should Really Reduce National Productivity!“ (?%#&@#??)

Are these people crazy? Steve Roth Wealth Economics This BlueSky bleet really raised my eyebrows. Check out the whole thread. I think my gentle readers will guess that I share these sentiments. But the thing that raised my eyebrows was the explicit suggestion that we should lower national productivity. Many economists would see that as economic insanity […]

Economically weighted ISM headline and new orders indexes back into weak expansion

 – by New Deal democrat The regional Fed August indexes, including both manufacturing and general business activity, rebounded sharply, telegraphing that a rebound was also likely in the ISM indexes. On Tuesday, the ISM manufacturing index rose slightly. This morning the ISM services index increased sharply. To wit, the headline number increased to 52.0, while the […]

Updating the Jobs Report

Following up on Joel’s earlier commentary on Jobs. Maybe messing with tariffs is not producing the results Trump and the Repubs had in mind? A revision of numbers on Jobs report. “It is difficult to isolate the exact causes of this slowdown, but it’s safe to say that this administration’s policies (like tariffs) have not […]

August jobs report: “Recession Watch”

A more detailed Jobs Report analysis by New Deal democrat. New Deal democrat was in Phoenix a while back. He let me know and we were able to meet at the Pomo Pizzeria on 1st Street. Great place to meet a friend or take your wife. The crowd is casual in dress. Good pizza too! […]

Firing our way to full employment

Trump fired BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer after a jobs report signaled a slowing jobs market, and larger-than-normal revisions for the previous two months suggested a more significant economic downturn could be anticipated. Trump’s reasoning appears to be that the BLS commissioner’s reports can create jobs, just like the rooster crows to create the dawn. Realty […]

Jobless claims revert to neutral

 – by New Deal democrat In the last few weeks, there has been speculation that jobless claims may have been affected by the jihad against immigrants, the theory being enough were being deported or else were simply afraid to report to work that the number of jobless claims was held down. But I suspected it might […]

Metro areas, What is at stake for Black Americans

Looking at Black American employment in 10 major cities and what is at risk under the Trump administration. Unemployment was at record lows in the recent past. Trump’s anti-equity agenda could threaten the progress. Three charts and a short explanation for each explaining what is at stake for Black America. ~~~~~~~ The present administration (Trump) […]