Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

The art of the deal

Until this year, China has been a major consumer of US soybeans. But Trump’s trade war with China has resulted in a shutdown of that major market for American farmers and billions of dollars in lost sales. Trump has promised federal dollars to farmers to compensate for the loss of the Chinese markets. So taxpayers […]

ISM manufacturing index continues to show slight contraction, as new orders retreat

– by New Deal democrat Typically the new month begins with important manufacturing and construction reports; but this morning the construction spending report for August became the first casualty of the government shutdown.  The ISM manufacturing report has been a recognized leading indicator for the past 60+ years, although of diminished importance since the turn of […]

August JOLTS report was weak, but foreshadows little

 – by New Deal democrat In the past year, in contrast to much other data in the jobs sector, the JOLTS reports have been very much consistent with a “soft landing” jobs scenario. In the August report released this morning, the trend weakened slightly. As a quick refresher, this survey decomposes the employment market into […]

Government Shutdown . . . Maybe

The Trump Threats and Stare Offs Tonight I was looking around to see if there was a list of government departments which will shut down due to a Trump and his supplicants and ass-kissers being to afraid to say “no.” But I am sure Democrats will find some means of getting out of this fix […]

Repeat home sales as measured by Case Shiller and the FHFA confirm price deflation

– by New Deal democrat Last month the indexes of repeat home sales from the FHFA and S&P Case Shiller were the final confirmation that the housing market was in deflation. That continued in this morning’s reports for July. On a seasonally adjusted basis, in the three month average through June, both the Case-Shiller national index […]

Biden Left a Bad Economy for Tr_mp?

Not, likely although there were still recovery issues. This article is ~4 months old. It does not claim the problem of a bad economy when Tr_mp left office in 2020. It also does not state Biden left a bad economy for Tr_mp either. People seem to forget what took place 4 years ago. Donald Trump […]

Why are Your Grocery Bills so High?

Some History: Angry Bear was well ahead of the issues with groceries and pricing. We did post several articles discussing the issues. One in particular article did discuss the Kroger-Albertsons partnership. The merger of Kroger and Albertsons announced a planned merger that would create a single entity controlling ~22 percent of the US grocery market. This […]

New Deal democrats Weekly Indicators for September 22 – 26

NDd’s Weekly Indicators for September 22 – 26  – by New Deal democrat My “Weekly Indicators” post is up at Seeking Alpha. Not much change this week, but there are signs that consumer spending is beginning to cool off again. U of M adds to NDd’s comment: “Weakening consumer views of labor markets are not necessarily a […]