Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Stock market at new highs

“Stock market at new highs, even with Strait of Hormuz still closed. What is Wall Street thinking?!?”  – by New Deal democrat As I type this, there are two particularly salient facts:  1. Although the US and Iran are not lobbing bombs at one another at the moment, the Strait of Hormuz is still closed.  2. […]

Long-Term Care Costs Drain the Middle Class

Grabbed one section out of a longer piece by the Roosevelt Institute on Long Term Care. I am betting many Baby Boomers lack such. I also suspect they have no other resource either. Not a difficult read. III. Long-Term Care Depletes Assets for Middle-Class Americans and Contributes to Widening Wealth Inequality, Roosevelt Institute For millions […]

March existing home sales demonstrate a new equilibrium in the housing market

 – by New Deal democrat Sometimes there just isn’t much drama in economic numbers, and that was certainly the case for this month’s edition of existing home sales. As a mild refresher, even though they constitute about 90% of all housing sales, existing sales are not nearly so important as new home sales, since the latter […]

The Big Picture overview of the economy: the oil shock may be the proverbial straw that breaks the camel’s back

– by New Deal democrat Today I want to step back from the daily data and give you my Big Picture overview of the economy, particularly because Friday’s inflation report has materially changed an important component. To begin with, as I have been saying off and on for months, the economy has been essentially flat, and […]

“spending on the military and spending on social programs”

EconoFact Weekend Reading: Guns vs. Butter Programs The phrase “Guns vs. Butter” is used to illustrate the choice a government must make between spending on the military and spending on social programs. President Trump’s recently released 2027 budget proposal tilts towards guns and away from butter. It calls for a 44 percent increase in defense spending, boosting it to $1.5 trillion, while reducing non-defense spending by 10%. […]

New Deal democrats Weekly Indicators for April 6 – 10 at Seeking Alpha

 – by New Deal democrat While inflation and interest rates took a whack at some of the data, most of the financial-related series (like the yield curve in the bond market and credit conditions) remain very positive. And consumer spending, likely by the uppermost income groups, actually posted one of its very best YoY comparisons in […]

“6 tenths of 1 percent decrease in presidential approval”

AB: I can only wonder why there would be any decrease after we initiated a war with Iran. “The Atlanta Fed’s GDP Now tracker pointed to tepid 1.3% growth, with the economy already hampered by severe winter weather and rising energy costs. A slowing trend before the war-induced oil price shocks.” And the Trump administration […]

Finally, John Kerry asked in-depth regarding Iran

Since the start of the war with Iran, I have been wondering why we had not seen an interview with John Kerry about this. I would have thought he would have been someone to talk to from the beginning. After all, he is most credited with the agreement we had with Iran before Trump did […]

Is Iran Blockage Impacting Global Oil? Some Detail . . .

Economic Information from Oil Price.com concerning reserves and pricing based on global interests and actions. In a bit of a flux right now. Not much stability and a lot of rent taking by the oil and gasoline industry. Some detail. More at the Oil Price site. “Oil Ignores Escalation, Logs Biggest Weekly Drop Since 2025” […]

As expected, March consumer inflation packed a (possibly recessionary) wallop

 – by New Deal democrat As anticipated, the March CPI packed a wallop, up 0.9% for the month and causing the YoY% gain to increase to 3.3%, while core CPI was a tame 0.2% with a YoY% gain of 2.6%. Because of the impact of that big number, I am departing from my usual format to […]