Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Looking at Some Economic Indicators

After zigging upward last week, interest rates zagged downward – but not as much – this week, enough to change the ratings on some interest rate sensitive indicators, like mortgages. And consumers continue to spend, despite all the shocks and sluggishness in things like the labor market in the past 15 months. Partial of “Weekly […]

Sunday Easter Holiday

Angry Bear writers, commenters, readers, critics, etc.. Have a safe Easter holiday with family, friends, good food, lots of fun with children if you have any, and eat some good food. Special family times on such holidays. Will be back on Monday to write, present, and talk again. Be safe. Happy Easter . . .

“Saving College Sports”

Maybe they can make a movie out of this one? Of all the important issues facing the United States, Trump is concerned about college football and basketball (to a lesser degree). So, he issues an executive order to establish his fix for it. ~~~~~~ “Urgent National Action to Save College Sports,” The White House, April […]

Jobless claims continue near historic lows; I expect the unemployment rate to decline

 – by New Deal democrat  With the stock market flailing around trying to keep its head above water, jobless claims along with consumer spending are the only two metrics that solidly support a continued economic expansion (ok, maybe ISM manufacturing is trending in that way as well). But to the point of this post: last […]

Stable genius and dealmaker

In his low-energy April Fools Day speech last night, Trump showed he hasn’t a clue how the world supply chains work: “In Wednesday night’s address to the nation, President Trump declared, “We’re now totally independent of the Middle East, and yet, we are there to help.” “We don’t have to be there — we don’t […]

FHFA and Case Shiller repeat sales indexes continue to show further disinflation

– by New Deal democrat The two national repeat home sales indexes, from the FHFA and Case-Shiller, were reported this morning and both continued to confirm the gradual abatement in shelter inflation. The Case-Shiller National index (blue in the graphs below) up 0.2% for the three month period ending in January, while the FHFA index […]

Population Outlook 2026 to 2056 which Includes Immigration

Keep in mind, as the Baby Boomer population decreases there will be a population shrinkage. Indeed, it is shrinking as I write this short introduction. Replacement rate is at ~1.6 today. Without immigration, the economy could be short of labor as well as other issues. In spite of what Trump believes immigration is an important […]