Changing jobs for better conditions and pay become more of a danger during a poor economy. It is not a good time to be looking for a better job. Indeed, doing so may put your present job in danger if management finds out. Best bet is to hunker down for the time being. Been there […]
– by New Deal democrat Last Friday I summarized the jobs report as “show[ing] a contracting jobs market in all important metrics except the headlines (which, for the record, were positive). …[A]lmost] all of the important leading metrics … were negative, [including the] goods-producing sectors – manufacturing, construction (including residential construction), and temporary jobs – declined, as […]
– by New Deal democrat [Note: Housing permits, starts, and units under construction were also updated this morning for September and October. I will post my remarks on this report on Monday; but in summary I can say it remained recessionary, with some possible “green shoots” that may indicate a bottom.] This morning’s jobs report for […]
– by New Deal democrat The good news is, we are back to the normal weekly jobless claims releases. The really good news is that this week’s number, except for one week in 2022, was a new 50 year low! The bad news is that Holiday seasonality is very much in play, so take the good […]
Following up on Joel’s earlier commentary on Jobs. Maybe messing with tariffs is not producing the results Trump and the Repubs had in mind? A revision of numbers on Jobs report. “It is difficult to isolate the exact causes of this slowdown, but it’s safe to say that this administration’s policies (like tariffs) have not […]
A more detailed Jobs Report analysis by New Deal democrat. New Deal democrat was in Phoenix a while back. He let me know and we were able to meet at the Pomo Pizzeria on 1st Street. Great place to meet a friend or take your wife. The crowd is casual in dress. Good pizza too! […]
– by New Deal democrat Even before the new Administration took office in Washington, my focus had been on whether the economy would have a “soft” or “hard” landing, i.e., recession. That has only intensified by the utter chaos of tariff-palooza! So my focus now is looking for “hard” vs.”soft” data indicating its impact. This month’s […]
– by New Deal democrat Jobless claims remained well behaved last week, as they increased 6,000 to 222,000. The four week moving average declined -750 to 220,250. With the typical one-week delay, continuing claims declined -37,000 to 1.841 million, at the low end of its range over the past 10 months: As usual, the YoY% […]
Scenes from Friday’s jobs report: the (totally contradictory) Big Picture – by New Deal democrat There is no important economic data today, so let’s take a closer look at some of the noteworthy items from Friday’s jobs report. I’ll start out with the Establishment Survey side and then turn to the Household Survey side. Goods […]
When I started out. it was the money. Kind of hard to buy a house and have kids if together you are pulling in $24,000/year. Then when the family starts, one of us will not be working (that was the plan). Get the first job, change jobs at two years, and work your way up […]