Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Robert Waldmann: Debt and Taxation Series

Desirable incentive effects of income taxation I Desirable Incentive Effects of Income Taxation II Desirable Incentive Effects of Income Taxation III Desirable Effects of Income Taxation IV Dissipative Signaling Desirable incentive effects of income taxation V Debt and Taxes I Debt and Taxes II Debt and Taxes III Debt and Taxes IV: This Time It’s […]

ACA Medicaid expansion growth is 25% in 2020

The Good Part of Medicaid Originally, Medicaid filled the gap if Americans could not afford healthcare insurance. Today, Medicaid is filling the gap if people lost income and/or healthcare insurance during the pandemic. If below FPL or 138% FPL, people qualify for Medicaid. Others who were already in the ACA healthcare exchanges qualify for larger […]

How We Got Here

From the lowest common denominator down The unbound political ambition we see in the likes of Josh Hawley, Ted Cruz, Nikki Haley, Tom Cotton, Marco Rubio, …, reminds those of us old enough to remember of Richard Nixon. It was but a small step from Nixon’s whatever it takes ambition-driven politics to appealing to the […]

Weekly Indicators for January 25 – 29 at Seeking Alpha

 by New Deal democrat Weekly Indicators for January 25 – 29 at Seeking Alpha My Weekly Indicators post is up at Seeking Alpha. After many weeks of stability, there is some turmoil – in opposing directions – among the short leading indicators in particular. It is an indication of the bifurcated nature of the economy at […]

Is China Now Number One?

Is China Now Number One?  Actually I think focusing on such questions can be a not very useful exercise, but here I am asking it anyway.  As it is, indeed the Peoples’ Republic of China (PRC) is indeed Number One on a number of important grounds, although probably the bottom line is that the world […]

Angry Bear Site Updates

Some Information Both Dan and I have been waylaid by Medical issues. Both of us are slowly coming out of what plagues us. We both are a little bit slow in responding. Eric had Covid and is better now. Dan did talk to the site people who run the servers and also program our capabilities […]

Not quite enough to start a “double-dip” recession

Real personal spending declines in December, while income rises; not quite enough to start a “double-dip” recession This morning’s report on personal income and spending for December reversed the pattern we have seen all during the second half of 2020. After rebounding strongly for 6 months, real personal spending (blue in the graph below) declined […]