Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Lobbying for the Nobel Peace Prize went No Where for Trump

Letters from an American “October 10, 2025” All of President Donald J. Trump’s lobbying for the Nobel Peace Prize came to naught today as the Norwegian Nobel Committee awarded this year’s prize to María Corina Machado of Venezuela. Machado has led a movement to challenge Venezuela’s authoritarian leader, President Nicolás Maduro. The committee cited “her […]

Some Information and Data on Firearms

Just information . . . mostly . . . Trends and Patterns in Firearm Violence, 1993–2023, U.S. Department of Justice In 2023, the rate of nonfatal firearm violence was 2.0 victimizations per 1,000 persons age 12 or older, down 72% from 7.3 per 1,000 in 1993 (figure 1). Nonfatal firearm violence includes rape or sexual […]

Teacher Pay Penalty

EPI has a good article on Teacher salaries. I stole part of it to paste on Angry Bear The Teacher Pay Penalty reached a record high in 2024: Three decades of leaving public school teachers behind, Economic Policy Institute Over the past three decades, stagnant weekly wages of public school teachers have fallen further and […]

Curiouser and curiouser

In his quest to find an environmental “cause” for autism, RFK Jr has honed in on acetaminophen. Initially, it was gestational exposure. Now it’s acetaminophen exposure in newborn boys who were circumcised: “While Kennedy did not cite specific research, he appeared to be referencing two older studies. “One was likely a 2015 Danish national cohort […]

The “Big Picture” nowcast and forecast

 – by New Deal democrat We are well into our data blackout, as no federal economic data whatsoever was released this week. Even sites that functioned in previous shutdowns, such as the Treasury Department’s “Daily Treasury Statement,” have been taken offline. This is simply not the way a functioning country works. So let me conclude this […]

U.S. residents’ foreign financial assets and liabilities

U.S. International Investment Position, 2nd Quarter 2025 U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) The U.S. net international investment position, the difference between U.S. residents’ foreign financial assets and liabilities, was –$26.14 trillion at the end of the second quarter of 2025, according to statistics released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Assets totaled […]

Should the Military be Called Out for Civilian Disturbance?

I would say such could occur only as a last resort. Even then, it might only be for guard duty and rendering aid. After having been trained so we would be familiar with what was necessary to do, 4th Bn 10th Marines along with elements of the Army were ready. Never happened in 70 and […]

ADP Unemployment Report

Late Report on by Angry Bear U.S. (un)employment. Just did not think of it. ADP says private sector sheds jobs as government shutdown halts data, October 1, 2025 Companies shed 32,000 jobs last month, according to data from payroll processor ADP, marking the biggest private sector decline in two-and-a-half years — and yet another warning […]

Autism incidence vs autism diagnosis

RFK Jr has dishonestly portrayed the increase in autism diagnoses over the past 20 years as an increase in incidence of autism to justify his claim of an environmental cause for autism. Multiple published and refereed reports using twin pair studies show 60-90% heritability for autism, and those are probably underestimates. What changed in the […]