The AMAC Foundation is kind enough to allow Angry Bear to use its information from the Social Security Report: “Government Shutdown? Medicare and Social Security Benefits to Continue Uninterrupted.” Here is the latest of what will happen if the Gov shuts down. Washington, D.C. Democrats and Republicans seem to be headed for an impasse when […]
– by New Deal democrat I’m on the road today, and won’t have time to update anything until tonight. So here is what to look for in initial and continuing jobless claims. Remember that the most important figure for forecasting purposes is the YoY% change. One year ago, initial claims came in at 221,000, the […]
Kareem talks Robert Kennedy Jr. and his ramblings as the Secretary of Health. It is pretty obvious in front of Congress he is not up to the job. Neither is he capable to direct the citizens of the United States. Over the last few years, it was pretty easy to get a Covid vaccination. Just […]
Or you can talk about something else. I did this in early August also. As I said before, this used to be a weekly process and sometimes was very successful. As a subscriber. I am posting part of a Paul Krugman commentary from the past. It may interest you. You can always use your own […]
Answering the question as a part of: “Immigrants and the economy,” Economic Policy Institute. Just how many migrants and immigrants are living in the United States? There were 47.8 million migrants and immigrants who resided in the United States as of 2023 (see Figure A), which includes all foreign-born persons of any immigration status and those […]
A recurring theme in shut-down commentary is that Democrats cannot trust Trump and congressional republicans to keep any deal they make to fund the government. This seems like a valid concern. Some commentators cite this as one of the main reasons for Democrats to refuse to fund the government. But unless the Democrats have a […]
Good question by Frum. Some speculation in this piece by Paul Krugman. Trump is or is becoming unpopular. It comes as no surprise to me Tr_mp is fumbling around and going back and forth in his decision making. People are still hurting except for the upper 10%. The key to this is whether Tr_mp can […]
New home sales: despite the noisy sharp increase in August, the last pre-recession metrics are firmly negative – by New Deal democrat Have I mentioned before that new home sales, while perhaps the most leading of all the housing data, suffer from being very noisy and heavily revised? Yes, I think I have, just about […]
From a pediatrician colleague: “. . . the study which is being used by certain parties to prove that “Taking Tylenol during pregnancy causes autism” does not actually say that. It says that there seems to be a slight increase in rates of autism among children whose mothers took Tylenol during pregnancy, BUT the lead […]
RFK Jr and Trump have announced that the “cause” of autism is mothers who took acetaminophen during pregnancy. Not only are there no data supporting this, but chronology falsifies this theory. Swiss psychiatrist Eugen Bleuler provided one of the earliest documented descriptions of autism-like behavior in 1911. He used the term “autistic” to describe some […]