Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

The “gold standard” QCEW for last Q3 strongly suggests no job growth whatsoever in 2025

– by New Deal democrat The Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) is “the gold standard of US employment measures. It is an actual census of 95%+ of all employers, who must report new employees for purposes like unemployment and disability benefits. Because of this, it is used for the final revisions, a/k/a bench-marks, for monthly […]

Flaw & Fixes

Our Republic is in great peril.  The democracy so proudly brought forth hangs in the balance. The ever-so critical upcoming midterms won’t be Democrats vs. Republicans; they will be we the people vs. them, democracy vs. autocracy and fascism.  Will be even more so if we make it to the 2028 elections (a huge if).  […]

USA Wages and Inflation

USA Facts asks the question, “Are wages keeping up with inflation?” It answers the quest and then provides the data to support its contention. Saying “Yes. From January 2025 to January 2026, wages grew 1.9 percentage points faster than inflation.” When you are listening to the news or reading an article in one of the […]

“new research on foreigners bearing the tariff burden”

Commentary by Erica York at the Tax Foundation on the pass-through impact of tariffs on pricing in the United States. The other possibility is companies may they eat it for a short period of time and maybe pass it through later in the time-table. The idea being the United States may later drop the tariff […]

How $4/gallon gas could take the economy from a nearly complete stall into outright recession

– by New Deal democrat So, first some bad news: my tech issue has resurfaced, so only links to graphs rather than graphs themselves, hopefully just for a day or two. Basically, unless I keep a bar up open to the blog page, Google and Apple sever their “handshake,” and I have to start from […]

A Measure of Tax Decreases for the Upper 10% of Households

I pulled this bullet point information from Josh Bivens piece on the Economic Policy Institute: “The Trump administration’s macroeconomic agenda harms affordability and raises inequality,” Economic Policy Institute. Graph showing the difference in return over 40 years versus Trump’s tax break for the wealthy in one year. It is the same return. It is interesting […]

Oil and Politics

With Trump’s attacks on the Middle East (Iran, we can expect higher prices for oil and more than likely lower inventory. Trump has signaled that the war in Iran could last four to five weeks—or go “far longer.” If tensions in the region continue, it could cause major disruptions to global energy markets and trigger widespread inflation. As […]

Brief Oil News Today

Some of the latest oil news from Oil Price, March 6, 2027 March 6. 2026: Brent tops $90 as the Strait of Hormuz closure halts Gulf oil flows and Iraq and Kuwait begin cutting output, fueling fears of a sharper price surge. “Oil Prices Hit $90 as Middle East Tensions Escalate,” Julianne Geiger, OIl Price, […]

“manufacturing, construction, trucking, and temporary help employment all declined, as did the goods-producing sector as a whole”

February jobs report: Main Street lays an egg  – by New Deal democrat I described last month as “the month the birds came home to roost. . . . In particular, the *entire* gains over the past year were reduced from 584,000 to 181,000 – an average of only 15,000 jobs gained per month.” Well, this […]