by Dale Coberly SOCIAL SECURITY TRUSTEES REPORT An Overview of the Overview The 2016 Trustees Report didn’t have much new to say, so the usual commentators were free to say what they have always said, which is mostly wrong. A careful reading of just the Overview (p 2 to 25 of the Report) will help […]
(Dan here) Quoted is a summary and link to New Deal democrat‘s post at XE.com on the pound sterling and Brexit impacting the US economy via Marketwatch: The pound plunged early Friday as results from the U.K.’s referendum hit, but “since then the pound has gone sideways,” notes financial blogger New Deal Democrat in a […]
Some of our wisest political observers informed us that Brexit would be great news for Donald Trump, because it shows (somehow) that there may be more support here than expected for his nationalist message of restoring American greatness through restrictionist immigration policies and turning the clock back on globalization. So it’s a bit surprising to […]
It is pretty clear who voted to stay and who voted to leave the EU in England. Hat Tip to Sam Wang Princeton Election Consortium Brexit survey of the day. “The UK voters who dominated the vote to Leave are also the ones who have to live with the outcome for the least amount of […]
The debate over whether the Fisher Effect is real has languished over the past year. It is hard to prove, and even I lost hope in it. However, I may have found the mechanism to make it work. First, look at this graph of the net profit rate plotted with core inflation since 1958… Chart […]
Watching the videos of Anwar Shaikh, He presented an idea relating inflation to the net profit rate. Net profit rate = Corporate profit rate – effective Fed rate His view is that inflation will occur when the profit rate is squeezed by the base Fed rate. When net profit rate is low or even negative, […]
Recently I found the work of Anwar Shaikh. His views on economics are the most insightful and thorough I have ever seen. He is questioning and re-formulating economic theories through history. He is arriving at conclusions that are more realistic and integrative. He should lead the way to how economics should be taught in the […]
From Ecowatch: On June 24, foreign oil company TransCanada filed a lawsuit against the U.S. under NAFTA, the North American Free Trade Agreement, arguing that the U.S. rejection of the Keystone XL pipeline violated NAFTA’s broad rights for foreign investors by thwarting the company’s “expectations.” As compensation, TransCanada is demanding more than $15 billion from […]
… all the fuss about Brexit is about, given that now more people will visit Turnberry, Scotland to golf. Or maybe not. Although that push to repeal Dodd-Frank may save us all from another economic crisis! ____ Okay, seriously, I think that contrary to the immediate CW, Brexit will actually hurt Trump, not help him. This […]
From feedback, I need to write a better post about the AS-ED model. Thanks for the feedback from Coberly, Arne and David at CEPR. (link to previous post) This post presents what could be a huge breakthrough in understanding the business cycle. Banks and central banks should take notice here. Model of Effective Demand Figure […]