November JOLTS report adds to the data showing continued labor market deterioration  – by New Deal democrat The second of this morning’s reports was the JOLTS survey for November.  Like many other statistics concerning jobs, the JOLTS series have been deceleration for several years. The question now is whether they level off or continue to […]

Overall, the November report was good. Unemployment was up 1 tenth. Participation Rate dropped a tenth. PR has been hovering about the same for months. What you are looking at is what The Fed has done with higher Fed Rates. As the Fed Rates drop, U-3 will pickup. We are on the right path. It […]

Press Release: January 2, 2025 — The U.S. Census Bureau announced the following value put in place construction statistics for November 2024: Total Construction Construction spending during November 2024 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,152.6 billion, virtually unchanged from (±1.0 percent)* the revised October estimate of $2,152.3 billion. The November figure […]

One take on the BEA report that I read was as follows: “The US economy has had the strongest recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic of any major developed economy. Annual inflation is approaching the Federal Reserve’s target without a recession, non-managerial real wages have exceeded pre-pandemic trends, consumer spending is continuing to exceed expectations, investment […]

I have heard or read a constant parade of how bad the economy was during Biden’s term in office. Yep, we did have inflation. It would have been great if we did not experience such. It was not in the cards this go around. Many other countries experienced similar. Politicians love to play the inflation […]

 – by New Deal democrat My “Weekly Indicators” post is up at Seeking Alpha. Both the long leading and short leading indicators have weakened in the past two weeks. The former is due to the short end of the Treasury yield curve re-inverted. The latter is due in part to continued weakness in new jobless claims, […]

With this commentary, we are discussing October/November 2024.The widespread belief was Biden’s Economy and it its progress over the last two years was weak. That is just false and yet the news media and Republicans made such claims and many people followed suit in belief. Yes we did have inflation, we did have supply chain […]

According to recent reports, as of January 2025, US crude oil inventory is considered to be in a “good shape” with levels slightly below the five-year average. This indicates a comfortable supply situation going into the new year 2025. Recent inventory drops have been less than expected. Analysts are still cautious about potential future market […]

 – by New Deal democrat Unusually this month, the ISM manufacturing index was delayed one day after the first business day of the month. In other words, it was released this morning instead of yesterday. In any event, a refresher that because manufacturing is of diminishing importance to the economy, and was in deep contraction both […]

What the Science of Predators and Prey Tells Us About the Morbidly Rich and Working People, Tom Hartmann, The Hartman Report Nature and economics share some fascinating patterns, one of which explains why Donald Trump is about to become president and how the morbidly rich have appropriated over $50 trillion from working class people since the 1980s. […]