…the 1920s, and the 1950 recession. Recently declines nearly that steep happened at the end of the 2001 recession, during the 2015 “shallow industrial recession,” and the pandemic lockdowns. It’s…

…recession begins as well.  While longer term unemployment is indeed currently consistent with a recession, short term unemployment is not: Unless and until both initial jobless claims and short term…

Credit conditions in Q2 improved, and are typical of an economy having come *out* of a recession, not going in to one  – by New Deal democrat The Senior Loan…

…in the long historical view of housing units under construction and permits above, with one exception (the tech producer-centered recession of 2001), in the case of recessions, permits continued to…

…of 13.4% before the onset of recessions: Two months ago I hoisted a yellow flag “recession watch” for the construction sector, based on this metric being down more than -10%….

…Jasmine Crockett, U.S. representative from Texas’s 30th congressional district, continue to warn about the risks of a recession. “We’re living with this incompetent administration that is literally driving us to a recession…

…before the onset of a recession. Unfortunately, they are typically reported with a lag, and Q4 corporate profits aren’t reported officially until the final update of the relevant GDP report….

…turned from being positive to negative. Which of course raises the question, should I go on recession watch? To help resolve that, I took a look at the whole constellation…

…the recession.” Further, where real spending on goods declined -1% YoY or more, about 50% of the time that also signaled recession (vs. slowdown the other 50%). And “If growth…

…permits are down 11.5%. Typically all three have been down 20% or more at the onset of recessions in the past, although in the 1991 and 2001 recessions, they were…