Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

What Can Democrats Do Now?

What Can Democrats Do Now? J.P. McJefferson Thoughts Democrats need to move on and move on fast. What really scares me is whether Democrats, Independents, and any others who care about democracy can, over the next couple of years, preserve the concept of “Free & Fair Elections,” and pack the 2026 campaigns with credible, charismatic […]

New Deal democrats Weekly Indicators for December 15-19, 2025

 – by New Deal democrat My “Weekly Indicators” post is up at Seeking Alpha. Update: All of the trends that we have been seeing for the past several months appear to be becoming more entrenched. That includes the re-normalization of the yield curve on the positive side, and weak withholding tax payments and transportation metrics on […]

Review of “Two paths to prosperity”

I just finished reading “Two Paths to Prosperity: Culture and Institutions in Europe and China,” 1000-2000 by Avner Greif, Guido Tabellini, and Joel Mokyr. The book, as suggested by the title, is a study of comparative economic history. My reading of economic history is limited to reading biographies of Marx and Keynes. My reading of […]

The “gold standard” QCEW through Q2 suggests little if any employment growth this year

– by New Deal democrat The Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) is “the gold standard of US employment measures. It is an actual census of 95%+ of all employers, who must report new employees for purposes like unemployment and disability benefits. Because of this, it is used for the final revisions, a/k/a benchmarks, for monthly […]

ACA Deductibles 2014 -2026

Deductibles in 2026 were planned proved there was ACA healthcare in 2026. It appears; Republicans are disenfranchising millions of citizens as they eliminate the subsidies. Such will make healthcare too expensive for millions of citizens. The deductibles below were pretty expensive. Deductibles in ACA Marketplace Plans, 2014-2026, KFF These chart collections provide key data about […]

Coming for Veteran’s Disability Benefits

In a 2020 “The Atlantic” article, four anonymous sources reported Donald Trump referred to fallen American service members as “losers” and “suckers” during a 2018 trip to France. According to the report, Trump also canceled a visit to the Aisne-Marne American Cemetery, asking, “Why should I go to that cemetery? It’s filled with losers.” This […]

Sensible Gun Control

It’s the guns. One of the many red herrings tossed out by the anti-vaxxers is that people who got the COVID jab still got COVID. That’s true. I’m one of them. But the promise of the COVID vaccine was never that it would keep you from getting infected. It was that the vaccine would likely […]