Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Creating more academic dishonesty than it detects!

It has been a while since Angry Bear has posted one of Sandwichman’s piece. I have a similar ideology as Sandwichman has when it comes to manufacturing, etc. My approach is in the plants or in the actual supply chain. This is an interesting piece about academic issues. “Artificial intelligence creates more academic dishonesty than […]

Final August durable goods orders: more evidence that the AI related buildout is keeping the economy afloat

 – by New Deal democrat Oddly, even though the government shutdown has crippled most reporting, the Census Bureau did update the durable goods report for August today, and it does reveal an essential bifurcation in the state of the economy. First, here are the topline leading indicators: total durable goods orders (blue), core capital goods orders […]

ISM manufacturing index continues to show slight contraction, as new orders retreat

– by New Deal democrat Typically the new month begins with important manufacturing and construction reports; but this morning the construction spending report for August became the first casualty of the government shutdown.  The ISM manufacturing report has been a recognized leading indicator for the past 60+ years, although of diminished importance since the turn of […]

Freeze peach

As a lifelong supporter of the ACLU, I take a back seat to nobody in my support for the 1st Amendment. But the 1st Amendment only enjoins the government from interfering with freedom of expression. Private entities are not covered. “YouTube will offer creators a way to rejoin the streaming platform if they were banned […]

Book Review

The review is interesting enough so as to take it with you on a 12-hour flight to Japan, change flights and then off to Asia. I have done such a number of times as watching the little screen gets to be boring. Not much to do other than read or sleep. The later comes after […]

Trump hostage-taking

Trump is threatening to conduct mass firings of federal workers unless Democrats help Republicans overcome a filibuster to pass an unconditional stopgap measure keeping the government open. “The White House Office of Management and Budget, which is led by Russ Vought, put out a memo last night telling federal agencies to start prepping reduction-in-force (RIF) […]

“the last shoes to drop, have dropped” Recession

New home sales: despite the noisy sharp increase in August, the last pre-recession metrics are firmly negative  – by New Deal democrat Have I mentioned before that new home sales, while perhaps the most leading of all the housing data, suffer from being very noisy and heavily revised? Yes, I think I have, just about […]

More on acetaminophen and autism

From a pediatrician colleague: “. . . the study which is being used by certain parties to prove that “Taking Tylenol during pregnancy causes autism” does not actually say that. It says that there seems to be a slight increase in rates of autism among children whose mothers took Tylenol during pregnancy, BUT the lead […]

Tylenol time travel

RFK Jr and Trump have announced that the “cause” of autism is mothers who took acetaminophen during pregnancy. Not only are there no data supporting this, but chronology falsifies this theory. Swiss psychiatrist Eugen Bleuler provided one of the earliest documented descriptions of autism-like behavior in 1911. He used the term “autistic” to describe some […]

Sellout by the Democrats in Congress

When I was living in Michigan, I found Jack Lessenberry to be an excellent pundit with regards to Republicans, Democrats, and state policies. For the most part the state was run by Republicans for two or three decades until Michigan governor Gretchen Esther Whitmer. And then it was a battle of the legislatures. The state […]