Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Another Look at the Mueller Report

Excellent recital of what was in the Mueller report as told by Joyce Vance. Joyce was also a part of the Mueller investigation. Bob Mueller’s legacy to us was uncovering the truth when it was difficult to do so and holding people accountable. All of which various political figures did their best to block the […]

“Trump take housing:” how the Iran war is killing the housing sector’s “green shoots”

 – by New Deal democrat “Trump take egg” was a social media meme popularized by MTSW at Bluesky, highlighting prices that T—-p had promised would come down, but increased instead. The spike in egg prices was due to avian flu, but when it comes to internet memes, nevermind. Which is by way of introduction to saying that […]

Is Social Security a forced retirement program?

Yesterday, Senator Ron Johnson (R-WI) called Social Security a ‘forced retirement program’ and said workers’ payroll contributions should be gambled on Wall Street. My senator, Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) proposed adjusting the payroll wage cap so that people making over $400K per year begin paying their fair share — a “win-win.” Let’s take each of these […]

“US Gone Rogue”

Thailand gets it. They understand what Trump is attempting to do globally. I am not surprised by this as I have worked with them on and off for years. “Trump goes off-script, US gone rogue,” Bangkok Post Thitinan Pongsudhirak It was not supposed to work like this. “America First” and “Make America Great Again” (MAGA) […]

New and continuing jobless claims remain near historic lows

 – by New Deal democrat Along with the weekly update of retail sals, new jobless claims continue to be the most positive economic data in the entire specturm. Last week new cliams increased 5,000 to 210,000, which is about average for the entire post-pandemic period. The only other time they were this low was 2018-19, […]

What are the Economic risks with Iran?

About a seven-minute read: Gasoline prices in AZ, (in the part where I live) as of late March 2026, are high. They average around $4.21 per gallon for regular, with some locations exceeding $4.39. Prices have surged significantly, following broader metro Phoenix trends, with options ranging from $4.159 at Circle K and QuikTrip to higher […]

Updating the K.I.S.S. estimate of the coming shock in CPI

 – by New Deal democrat There’s no big economic data today, so let me update something I posted last week, in which I warned readers to expect a shock in the next CPI report.  I wrote that “based on past history and using conservative assumptions, the model forecasts a 1.8% increase in CPI between March and […]