While Tyler Cowen is playing the Ricardian Equivalence card, he opens with the central concern that an increase in consumption means a reduction in investment: Assume that government spends some money today on consumption. That money could have been spent on a durable bridge, but it wasn’t. Some current people benefit from the consumption and […]
Dr. Thoma excerpts from Paul Krugman’s NY Times Commentary: Debt and Denial. Dr. Krugman writes: “In 2005 spending on home construction as a percentage of G.D.P. reached its highest level in more than 50 years. People who already own houses are treating them like A.T.M.’s, converting home equity into spending money: last year the personal […]
Tyler Cowen cuts through a quarter of a century of free lunch Republican spin in just two sentences: Taxes already were raised when the government spending occurred. In that sense the “tax cuts” never were permanent. This is what I love about conservative economists – they get right to the point. Twenty-five years ago, I’m […]
It seems that we can now move beyond talking about a flat yield curve to talking about a truly inverted yield curve: Yield curve inverts after strong auction NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — The Treasury yield curve turned completely upside down early Friday, pushing the 2-year yield above the yields of both the 10-year and 30-year […]
The New Economist provides links to a piece by Michael Mandel noting his usual argument that the national income account definitions understate savings as well as a reply from Brad Setser and the Michael’s reply to Brad. As you will notice in a moment, I’m a bit biased to what Brad said so let me […]
Credit goes to James Hamilton for what may be the best takedown of the gold bugs over at the National Review I’ve seen yet: What’s behind the ongoing run-up in gold prices? One popular interpretation is that investors fear a resurgence of U.S. inflation. But that story just doesn’t square with the facts … I […]
Menzie Chinn gets the last word on the most recent news regarding employment growth – except for the fact that I’ll do a small summary of one aspect of his post that took a longer view of the revised payroll survey figure – with my own graph of this revised series from October 2000 to […]
In the spirit of Brad DeLong’s course on economics reporting, I noticed this morning that Joel Havemann of the LA Times does a reasonably good job providing some context against which to measure the Bush administration’s budget rhetoric: Bush Budget Plan Strikes Home, Not Deficit WASHINGTON — President Bush today will propose a $2.7-trillion budget […]
Unless there is some new math that really does say 1.08 divided by 131 equals 6%, Max Sawicky is having fun with Steve Antler. But his On Reaganomics and Supply-side is truly sad as he simply accepts the latest spin from the op-ed pages of the Wall Street Journal as evidence as to the following […]
CalculatedRisk previewed the latest UCLA Anderson Forecast and Dr. Leamer is concerned that residential investment demand will decline – especially in California. Lawrence Kudlow suggests that Leamer and CalculatedRisk are “bubbleheads”. Kudlow gives a couple of interesting reasons for questioning forecasts of weak residential investment, but he also provides the following strange logic: Although year-to-date […]