Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Hold the Celebration on Rebounding Industrial Production

Typically, when I post New Deal Democrat; I will have the link to the post at the end of his economic commentaries. I also include a link to a previous commentary of his of the same topic. New Deal democrat follows the ups, downs, and stagnation of his topics. It is more work. However. I […]

the meaning of the word “oligarchy” spiked

January 16, 2025 In his final address to the nation last night, President Joe Biden issued a warning that “an oligarchy is taking shape in America of extreme wealth, power, and influence that literally threatens our entire democracy, our basic rights and freedoms, and a fair shot for everyone to get ahead.” It is not […]

Insurance, the Next Financial Crisis

From storms in the Southeast to fires in California; there has to be a growing financial stress on the companies insuring the people and businesses there. A report from The American Prospect. Increasing damage from fires, hurricanes, and floods will destabilize a lightly regulated industry—and spill over into broader financial markets. The Next Financial Crisis: […]

Real retail sales remain positive for the economy, but suggest further slowing in employment gains

 – by New Deal democrat Since I posted earlier about why I follow jobless claims so closely, let me briefly restate why I pay a lot of attention to real retail sales. Retail sales have been tracked for over 75 years. When they are lower YoY, that has historically been a good (not perfect) indicator […]

December CPI: rebounds in gas and car prices outpace deceleration in shelter and insurance laggards

– by New Deal democrat December consumer prices indicate that we are leaving the immediate post-covid era and seeing a rebalancing of sectors, as sectors that declined sharply in the past several years rebound. As in November, the only two categories of “hot” numbers showing price increases of 4.0% a year or more are two […]

Producer Prices

Producer prices join the parade of yellow flags  – by New Deal democrat I generally don’t pay too much attention to producer prices, but there are a couple of exceptions. One exception is that sometimes producer prices lead consumer prices by a number of months. That hasn’t been the case recently. But the other exception […]

College Costs

The Question? How Much Does College Really Cost? – by Phillip Levine EconoFact The Issue: Media coverage of the skyrocketing cost of college is pervasive. Sticker prices approaching $100,000 are jarring for anyone, but particularly for those with limited financial resources. And the sticker shock is not limited to the most selective private universities. Since the mid 90s, sticker […]