Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Trump Caves on Tariffs

The good news is that Trump agreed to end the trade war he started with China reducing Tariffs to 30% for 90 days. China reduced tariffs on imports from the US to 10%, In exchange China agreed to discuss things. For 90 days Tariffs are the status quo before “American Independence day” plus 10%. Of […]

More fuel to help consumers deal with tariffs

“Every time inflation went up more than aggregate payrolls YoY, it marked the beginning of a recession +/- 2 months.“ More fuel to help consumers deal with tariffs: real aggregate nonsupervisory payrolls likely increased again in April  – by New Deal democrat One of my favorite indicators is both a significant update from last week’s jobs […]

Job Market for the Young, Educated Workers

“Something strange, and potentially alarming, is happening to the job market for young, educated workers,” The Atlantic According to the New York Federal Reserve, labor conditions for recent college graduates have “deteriorated noticeably” in the past few months, and the unemployment rate now stands at an unusually high 5.8 percent. Even newly minted M.B.A.s from elite programs […]

Oil

Middle East is cutting oil prices. My guess is their wanting to stymie US production which is more expensive. A runup to the late sixties oil embargo without the embargo. Oil prices tumble after OPEC+ says it will step up production | PBS News Stocks are opening lower on Wall Street and crude prices are […]

Trump’s flim-flam pharmaceuticals plan

Trump announced that he’ll sign an executive order today that will lower drug costs in the US. ““I will be instituting a MOST FAVORED NATION’S POLICY whereby the United States will pay the same price as the Nation that pays the lowest price anywhere in the World,” the president posted Sunday on his social media […]

China Tariffs

Comment by Terry (Terrance Nilles) as taken from “Trump’s China tariff gambit is failing,” Angry Bear At the end of the day, I think the whole tariff thing is not about raising money to pay for tax cuts or to bring industry back to this country or to stop fentanyl from coming across the border. […]

European Leaders Arrive in Kyiv

European leaders arrive in Kyiv after Putin’s parade, Bangkok Post KYIV — The leaders of Britain, France, Germany and Poland arrived in Kyiv on Saturday for talks with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy in a show of unity a day after Russia’s Vladimir Putin hosted his allies in a Victory Day parade on Red Square. The […]

America’s Money Managers

Some select facts about the Treasury Department Functions. This includes the size of it, currency, national banks, costs of tax collection, budget, etc. The latter of which make the Treasury the third largest department fund wise. Some interesting graphs depicting functions. What does the Department of the Treasury do? USAFacts Last month, a federal judge […]

Trump’s China tariff gambit is failing

Trump slapped 145% tariffs on China, thinking it would hurt them more then it would hurt the US. Of course, trade is global, and so China’s exports surged in April as a result of a jump in shipments to Southeast Asia, offsetting the drop in outbound goods to the U.S. “China’s exports to the Association […]

CBO Likely Underestimates Medicaid Coverage losses

Looking at the impact of Mike Johnson and the House proposal of cutting Medicaid will have an impact. Meanwhile, Trump is expecting cuts so as to keep the 2017 tax cuts of which a major portion went to the upper one-percent in income. Estimate “seems low” — KFF’s Larry Levitt, Brookings‘ Matt Fiedler, and Georgetown’s […]