The Economy and “A Trump Thanksgiving”
As suggested by New Deal democrat, the nation is experiencing an expansion of the economy which seems less likely to end in a recession.
“There has been some commentary that continuing claims mean a recession is imminent or may even be underway. I am discounting that because initial claims have always signaled first, and also because continuing claims have been in the range of 25%-30% higher YoY for the last 6 months without worsening.
Turning to the update for the Sahm rule, on a monthly basis claim in November so far are up 3.5%. Since initial claims lead the unemployment rate by several months, that suggests an unemployment rate declining to about 3.6% in a few months (i.e., 3.5%*1.035=3.6%) from a more elevated 3.8%-4.0% level:
In short, claims are forecasting continued economic expansion.”
This has not changed Republicans thoughts on Biden as revealed in their deliberate attempts to discredit Biden. Neither has trump stopped threatening the court by inciting people to do his bidding. trump’s economic prowess never reached the extent of what the nation has experienced under Biden’s leadership.
Switching hats here and citing Joyce Vance at Civil Discourse. As taken from:
Trump went all in, using language that anyone who understands how he operates knows is inflammatory, if not targeting, towards New York’s Attorney General Letitia James, Judge Engoron, and President Biden. And that’s just one post.
But it’s Trump’s targeting of Judge Engoron’s law clerk that tell us the most about what the country has to fear if Trump regains power.
In a sworn affidavit from an officer assigned to the New York judicial threats assessment unit submitted in support of keeping the gag order in place. Disturbing details about the impact of Trump’s prior post about the Judge and his law clerk came to light. The judge and his staff are receiving hundreds of harassing and threatening phone calls every day. The email and voicemail messages are so concerning that they have required security personnel “to constantly reassess and evaluate what security protections to put in place to ensure the safety of the judge and those around him.” For the Judge’s clerk, in particular, the threats have been voluminous and serious. It took 275 single spaced pages to transcribe all of them.
The affidavit also indicates the gag order being temporarily lifted on November 16. Since the matter is on appeal, the threatening messages have increased. Around half of the 20-30 calls per day to the law clerk’s personal cell phone and 30-50 messages daily on social media platforms and personal email addresses are antisemitic.
This is deliberate attack on a blameless private citizen, made by Trump in order to advance his own agenda. And in the context of the division in the country over the Hamas attack on Israel, the fact that many of the threats she receives are antisemitic is truly concerning. We know Trump is no leader, that he does not care about the country or any of its people—his relationships are purely transactional, and unless there is something in it for him, he will sacrifice anyone to advance himself. Someone who feels safe and anonymous today could be the recipient of Trump’s ire tomorrow simply because they’re in the wrong place at the wrong time and he needs a victim to distract from whatever trouble he is in at the moment.
On Thanksgiving Day, the Special Counsel’s office filed a Rule 28(j) notice to make the Court of Appeals in the District of Columbia, which is considering the separate gag order issued by Judge Chutkan in the election interference prosecution case in D.C., aware of the details in the New York state filing. They wanted the record in the D.C. case to reflect that Trump’s conduct in the New York fraud case had exposed court personnel to threats in that matter, and that lifting the gag order had made it worse—the threats spike when Trump makes his attacks.
Trump filed a response today, insinuating that he is not to blame for what other people do. But that is a tired and laughable effort to shirk blame at this point. Claiming years ago, he was unaware of the effect his words on his followers. That time is long past.
So happy Thanksgiving from your past and wannabe future president. We cannot say it loudly enough or frequently enough:
Trump continues to be a danger to us. Anyone who doesn’t understand they or someone they love such as family could be the next one subjected to the treatment Judge Engoron’s law clerk is receiving. Or the Fulton County election workers Ruby Freeman and Shaye Moss were subjected too. The are not paying attention. There are very real risks.
We’ve seen enough. Now it’s time to get to work and make sure Trump never holds public office again. Even though we’re heading into the holidays, there are simple steps you can take now to make sure you’re ready come the new year.
“A Trump Thanksgiving”
This is a foolish and even offensive headline. This is a Thanksgiving for several hundred million people, and has nothing whatever to do with any political figure. This is a Thanksgiving for me, and I do not give a darn about being politically preached to when the point is for me to be thankful.
ltr:
Be thankful, you are allowed an opinion.
Laugh. Out. Loud
It is not what Trumps says but the actions of the Democrats to turn America into a Banana Republic by the continuous persecutions of an Elected President Trump. It is obvious the Administrative State owned by Democrats in DC is the corrupt, self-serving GANG that must be removed from power in order to save the Republic. This is the reason for their security concerns–Citizens are waking UP to their corruption.
William:
This old Marine Sergeant has a tough time finding any reason for a President, a fascist president trump, to overthrow the nation’s government so he can be in charge and rule outside of the constitution. I would have liked to chase his fat ass to the Brig and lock him up close enough to the regular prisoners so he could experience what it was like. Tears would flow . . .
To your other point about the administrative state, sigh . . . The administrative state has been in existence for decades, a century or so and suddenly today’s Democrats own it? In spite of what Clarence claims and delegates the decision making to lower courts based upon historical evidence, without such administrative delegation, the nation would be prone to the whims of such miscreants as Greene, Gaetz, Gosar, Boebert, Santos, Jordan (who couldn’t move fast enough to get away from the rioters attacking on January 6. 2020 as inspired by him and that fat-butt (I have to exercise being polite to you) president, etc.
Banana Republic? That is laughable.
To your use of the term Administrative State? It has existed under Repubs, Dems. etc. administrations long before you have lived. Quit parroting the liar trump and his sycophants.
How the Administrative State Got to This Challenging Place
Learn from this . . .
Laugh. Out. Loud
Charlie’s losing fingernails, the desperation is starting to stink
Being of the dishonored I’ve learned prudence; prudence dictates keeping what I’d really like to see happen to myself, though stripped of everything from car keys to credit cards and marched naked down Fifth Avenue to an awaiting repurposed oil tanker to carry them away to Russia would probably make me chuckle
He wasn’t elected. It was rigged, and we know who the riggers are
@Jackson,
” . . . an Elected President Trump.”
LOL! Trump *lost* the 2016 election by nearly 3 million votes. He was appointed POTUS by the electoral college over the decision of a majority of American voters. He lost again in 2020 by nearly 7 million votes.
What color is the sky in your world?
Trump lost in 2016.
The hell he did. So to speak. The GOP, as a (shrinking?) minority party knows full well how to get assistance from foreign guv’mints & use other tactics to exploit ‘weaknesses’ in the Electoral College system that were designed in by the Founders to advantage less populous states. Fix this and maybe we’ll get somewhere.
In the meantime, hope for the best, that voters will come to their senses & not elect a would-be tyrant.
USA Today would have us believe otherwise.
Earth to Democrats: Biden presidency is a dumpster fire.
(Too many candles on his birthday cake, alas.)
Both likely candidates are very old now & will only be older in 2025, alas.
One will be a tyrant, the other will not be a tyrant & has shown himself to be a more effective president by far than the previous one, who wants back in.
Should be an easy enough choice.
@Fred,
“Fix this and maybe we’ll get somewhere.”
That will happen co-terminus with the first verified report of porcine aviation.
Thank you for the laugh . . .
Y’know, I am well aware of this.
It won’t be happening soon, if ever. As I point out often, the Popular Vote Compact is the only way out of this, and that is pretty unlikely too.
One-page explanation (PDF)
If enough states with large populations approve this (and a few with smaller ones), it will override the wishes of the smallest, reddest states who almost certainly will not. Then it will face Supreme Court challenges.
In simplest terms, if enough states enter this compact, they will be agreeing to assigning their presidential election electoral votes to the candidate with the highest overall popular vote count. The notion being that the Consitution gives the states the wuthority to decide how to do such elections.
Here’s yer ‘Trump Thanksgiving’!
Why Biden’s Weakness Among Young Voters Should Be Taken Seriously
NY Times – Nate Cohn – subscriber newslwtter – Nov 27
@Dobbs,
I think properly designed polls are very useful a week or two before the election. The thing to remember about polls is that they are nowcasts, not forecasts. When the time interval is short, they can be good predictors of election outcome. This far out, polls about who you’ll vote for on November 2024 are pretty worthless as prophecy.
What would be somewhat more valuable would be polls on issues, not on faces.
I too hope (even anticipate) that voters will come to their senses by next November.
“Out of 98 partisan state legislative chambers, Republicans control 57 chambers. Democrats control 41 in 2023. In total, Republicans control 22 states and Democrats control 17, with state control defined as a state where the upper chamber, lower chamber, and governor seat are all held by the same party. 10 states have divided government.”
In the current Congress, 26 states have GOP-majority delegations.
If no Electoral College majority occurs after the Nov 2024 election, in January 2025 the newly elected House will select the next President. One vote per state.
Trump Has a Master Plan for Destroying the ‘Deep State’
NY Times – Nov 27
How Trump … sees ‘deep state’ enemies on all sides
The Guardian – Aug 2017
Trump Says He Never Swore Oath ‘to Support the Constitution’
Newsweek – just in
(Aside from that line in the presidential swearing-in ceremony ‘to preserve, protect & defend’. Nothing in there about ‘supporting’, I guess.)