Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

An exception to the rule? Maybe Housing ISN’T the Business Cycle

Twenty years ago, Professor Edward Leamer gave an important presentation at the Fed’s Jackson Hole meeting entitled “Housing IS the Business Cycle.” The current environment is putting that hypothesis to a very severe test. Because by all accounts housing has deteriorated  sufficiently that a recession should already have begun months ago. In fact, the current […]