Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

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Higher and Higher…

…From the consumer’s point of view, oil is now more expensive than it was in the wake of the first oil shock. From the point of view of businesses, oil

Petroleum Speculation Thread N+1

…hold more. Now the price of crude includes the cost of holding that inventory essentially the oil exporters are supplying oil *and* storage. The price is higher than the price…

Oil and Commodity Prices

…pacing supply. There is no need for any theories of hoarding or producers leaving oil in the ground or peak oil to explain the surge in oil prices this cycle….

Strategic interest and defining victory

…to Iraqi oil for the next 30 years, then any result guaranteeing oil profits for American oil companies would count as “victory.” Suppose the present killing and chaos were to…

Oil Prices Revisited

…an estimate assuming sustained current oil prices). The oil shocks of ’73 and ’79 that preceded severe recessions are clearly visible. Also some economists have argued that the small increases…