…the unemployment rate in February. So for the moment, there is no additional upward pressure on unemployment. The Bonddad Blog Jobless claims decline back into neutral territory, Angry Bear by…

…comparisons of intiai claims, total jobless claims, and the unemployment rate (red). In gray I also show the absolute unemployment rate (right scale): The YoY% changes in initial and total…

…meeting this week, most economic data looks solid: Inflation has been steadily fading, while the unemployment rate is still a historically low 4.2%. Yet President Donald Trump’s widespread tariffs may…

…the unemployment rate YoY in the next several months. Since the unemployment rate was 4.1% last June, rising to 4.2% for several months thereafter, this suggests that the unemployment rate…

…let’s take our first look at how this month’s jobless claims report so far might affect the unemployment rate in the next couple of months: Remember that unemployment claims tend…

…Administrations as well. Samuelson defined it as ” slow growth, high inflation and high unemployment”. Stagflation puts enormous pressure on the Federal Reserve Board because its prime tool to combat…

…of stagflation, that the important thing about the economy is whether it is improving the general welfare of people. If the economy is growing slowly, unemployment is edging up and…

Late Report on by Angry Bear U.S. (un)employment. Just did not think of it. ADP says private sector sheds jobs as government shutdown halts data, October 1, 2025 Companies shed…

…that the 4.5% unemployment rate in the November jobs report was the high water mark, and that the unemployment rate will trend downward over the next several months (although it…

…strong job growth and no change in the unemployment rate, the answer is that these are two different surveys. The unemployment rate is based on a survey of households. The…