Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

The Fed Moves

Expectations were for another quarter point hike, and true to form, Greenspan did not disappoint those market expectations (he never does): The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to raise its target for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 2 percent. The Committee believes that, even after this action, the stance of […]

Down, Down, Down…

The dollar has hit a record low already this morning against the euro, of over $1.30 per euro. The yen/dollar exchange rate is still hovering at about 106. I suspect that the Japanese CB has stepped up their purchases of dollars in the last week or two… Kash

Thoughts on the Electoral College

Musings about the problems inherent in the Electoral College are still floating about; see Josh Marshall for one thoughtful example. And I have to agree with Marshall; I would have felt mighty uncomfortable if Kerry had won Ohio, and thus the presidency, while 3.5 million more Americans voted for Bush. I think the Electoral College […]

Wanted: New Secretary of Commerce

Donald Evans is leaving his position as Secretary of Commerce. And I can’t imagine how it will make the slightest difference to anything: At Commerce, Evans backed Bush’s economic policies enthusiastically. He traveled the nation, talking with small business groups, extolling the benefits of lower taxes and reduced regulation. Nevertheless, Evans left no discernible mark […]

Making Maps is Fun!

Over the weekend, I happened across a list of cities. After a few seconds, I noticed something odd about them: the areas comprising the list were overwhelmingly Blue, not Red. Here’s a map in which the states containing the cities on the aforementioned list are color-coded based on how their cities voted (click to enlarge): […]

Fiscal Policy Options for Bush’s Second Term

I had hoped to write this post for Roger Altman and Gene Sperling as they advised President-elect John Kerry on how to reverse George W. Bush’s fiscal mess. Two recent discussions pose the problems facing President Bush in his second term. Daniel Gross of Slate writes: The fiscal record of the past four years has […]

The Not-So-Simple Finance of Social Security Privatization

Brad DeLong’s The Simple Arithmetic of Social Security Privatization suggests how Bush’s “reform” might work for someone nearing the age of 50. The word is that the Bush administration will shortly propose the diversion of 2% of the taxable Social Security payroll to private Social Security accounts… Since benefits for the next generation or so […]

Abolishing Sales Taxes

I’ve read in a couple of places over the past week (sorry I can’t remember any specific instances offhand, but would welcome citations) that a good policy proposal for Democrats might be to advocate the abolition of sales taxes, replacing the lost revenue with income taxes. Since there’s no national sales tax this would have […]

Take Two

Let me rephrase and shorten that long post about liberal morality that I wrote over the weekend. First read this essay by Robert Reich. Then let me condense my own post down a bit, to: “Yeah, what Robert Reich said.” Kash

How Much Money?

In the previous post I pointed out that, “California, the world’s fifth largest economy, … gets only $.78 back on every $1.00 it pays to the Treasury.” Just how much money is California donating to the poorer states? The State’s Gross State Product is about $1.4 Trillion, and in 2003 California residents and corporations paid […]