Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Speculation, Again

Rick Newman of Useless News and World Report busts some myths. And gets to the heart of the “speculators” issue: Many companies, for instance, want to lock in the price they’re going to pay down the road for petroleum products and other supplies they need to run their businesses. So they make agreements with suppliers […]

May Personal Income Report

Calculated Risk has not done his usual analysis of the monthly personal income report from this morning, so I will take it on myself to comment. Essentially it repeats the earlier retail sales report that consumers are spending their rebates.Real personal consumption rose 0.4%. this compares to these recent monthly growth rates: Dec… -0.1Jan… +0.2Feb… […]

Soc Sec XXVI: Social Security Low Cost & the 100/100 Target

I had thought the following had been published as part of this series, but in the course of comments on XXIV see that it wasn’t. Instead it was written in the month before I got privileges here. But it dovetails neatly into discussion of the newly released Issue Brief No. 5: Social Security Reform: Strategies […]

A small note on a small thing of .035%

by coberly In a recent thread about global warming it was stated, accurately, that the concentration of Carbon Dioxide in the atmosphere was 0.035%. One reader commented with what seemed like a sneer that such a “trace amount” did not need to be taken seriously. Here are three small points about that: In a cubic […]

Advice from a Grand Master

Former Dallas Fed President Bob McTeer lists the “bad thinking habits” that cause people to make irrational economic decisions. It promises to be a series of posts. The first might be subtitled “Never Look a $10 tie in the local currency.”

Finance Quote of the Day

“This isn’t a matter of dissing Microsoft, but Intel information technology staff just found no compelling case for adopting Vista,” the person said. From here, h/t Felix.

Soc Sec XXV: Advisor Jason Furman on Obama’s Plan

For those of you not in the mood for numeric wonkery Biggs also points us to Furman’s response to Larry Lindsey’s Obama Turns FDR Upside Down. In an letter included in Obama’s Proposals for Social Security Considered Furman gives us this: There is much to disagree with in Larry Lindsey’s June 20 op-ed, “Obama Turns […]

Renegotiating NAFTA: It’s not just for the US any more

It’s no secret that I am no fan of NAFTA, which is to free trade what George W. Bush is to entrepreneurship. So when Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton were talking about changes needing to be made, I yawned. (save the rustbelt, by contrast, looked up and said, “Now they understand?”) Then changes they want […]

Soc Sec XXIV: Treasury’s Social Security Issue Brief no. 5

More homework for Coberly and Arne (and any others who want to join in). Andrew Biggs alerts us to the release of the Treasury Department’s Issue Brief No. 5: Social Security Reform: Strategies for Progressive Benefit Adjustments The proposal seems quite interesting. Rather than simply readjusting the benefit schedule by some blunt change in method […]