Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Working with Social Security

My university offers tenured faculty over the age of 60 two retirement options: (1) a buyout, where the faculty gets a full year’s worth of salary and benefits in exchange for immediate retirement and (2) phased retirement, where the faculty can choose reduced salary (70%, 50% or 30%) with reduced responsibilities for up to five […]

Real income rises, but real spending on goods may be turning down

– by New Deal democrat Personal income and consumption is one of the two big monthly reports on the state of the average American, in addition to the jobs report. This month it has the added virtue of being the “least stale” monthly report, as it was issued only five weeks later than scheduled. Ever since […]

Student Loans for Future Public Service Employees and Other Students

Student Loans are something Congress likes to mess with as an issue. The issue being, students are making off with millions or billions of dollars. Nothing could be further from the truth. Student loans will follow people till their death whether they can pay it or not. Congress has no issues in troubling young students […]

Abbreviated Version of Medicaid and SNAP Cutbacks Impacting Healthcare

This entirety of this piece by Commonwealth Fund covers more than a Jobs cutback. There is a definite meanness in this legislation by President Tru_p and Republicans. It is meant to skew tax breaks to people who do not need tax breaks at the expense of overall healthcare cuts. This will impact more than just […]

Jobless claims: Holiday seasonality enters in a big way

 – by New Deal democrat The good news is, we are back to the normal weekly jobless claims releases. The really good news is that this week’s number, except for one week in 2022, was a new 50 year low! The bad news is that Holiday seasonality is very much in play, so take the good […]

ISM services for November generally positive and improving

 – by New Deal democrat Probably the most important economic news this entire week was this morning’s ISM services report. Services are about 75% of the economy, and this report was for November, which means it is the most wide-ranging and current datapoint we have at the moment. And the news on this front was almost […]

Wealth and Income

Just some basic information and explanation. A few notes on wealth and income and the growth for a few since 1989 K-Shaped Recovery A K-shaped recovery occurs when, following a recession, different parts of the economy recover at different rates, times, or magnitudes. It’s called K-shaped because the path of the different parts of the economy […]

Production weakens while private employment declines

 – by New Deal democrat Although not published by the federal government itself, the Fed’s measure of industrial production relies on some federal data, and thus it was not updated during the government shutdown – which means that this morning’s update is likewise stale, being for September. Industrial production has been much less central to the […]