Kash’s post on the latest consumer price inflation news allows us to raise a couple of additional points. Our first graph provides the latest on real wages for production or nonsupervisory workers, which have generally been declining over the past two years as nominal wage increases have not kept pace with consumer price inflation. While […]
I’ve taken the liberty of composing a picture that addresses the implausible notion that the Federal government’s budget deficits are the result of “ungoverned forces”. The graph below shows the on-budget federal budget balance – that is, the budget balance excluding the Social Security Trust Fund surplus – and the ways in which various deliberate […]
While Mark Thoma has a few words about the partisan garbage Karl Rove delivered to the American Enterprise Institute, let me start here: The economy itself began slowing in the third quarter of 2000 as GDP declined by an annual rate of 0.5 percent. And all of this took place before George W. Bush set […]
The latest op-ed from David Brooks is entitled From Freedom to Authority and includes this spin: In the 1970’s and 80’s, conservatives felt the primary threat was the overweening nanny state. Ronald Reagan tried to loosen the structures that restricted individual initiative and led to national sclerosis. He and Margaret Thatcher deregulated, privatized, cut tax […]
Mark Thoma points to a couple of pieces from Robert Reich, which I want to discuss in a bit. Mark leads with some nonsense from R. Emmett Tyrrell Jr.: There is a bigotry against the term Supply-Side Economics. That is the only way to explain it. The prejudices of those who for decades have believed […]
Last Thursday, we suggested that Greg Kaza more carefully read the paper by Greg Mankiw and Matthew Weinzierl that Kaza used as evidence for supply-side economics. We are happy to report that Brad DeLong has read this paper and notes: The abstract is misleading. It should read, “The feedback is surprisingly large: in the long […]
John Tamny starts his latest op-ed with some wisdom from Herbert Stein: Seeking to shift blame away from the Federal Reserve and the Nixon White House for the oil shocks of the early 1970s, the late Herbert Stein said, “My devotion to the old-time religion is not so great as to make me believe that […]
Reading the news this morning I feel like we’re reliving the Carter years. The drop in consumer sentiment reported today by the University of Michigan, as well as Bush’s dismal approval ratings, both seem like echoes from the late 1970s. From Marketwatch: Consumer sentiment plunges to 7-month low WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) – U.S. consumers’ attitudes about […]
Greg Kaza is elated that the politicians will start (ab)using dynamic scoring: Dynamic scoring, however, attempts to measure the feedback-effects ignored in these models – those feedback-effects potentially becoming excellent ammunition for supply-side policymakers and tax-cut advocates. There’s no doubt that dynamic scoring is today being taken seriously within the budgeting community … More importantly, […]
The FOMC (the interest rate-setting committee at the Fed) raised the Federal Funds rate to 5.0% today. Here’s the important bit of the accompanying statement: Economic growth has been quite strong so far this year. The Committee sees growth as likely to moderate to a more sustainable pace, partly reflecting a gradual cooling of the […]