Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Regional Fed manufacturing and services indexes for November 2025

“Regional Fed manufacturing and services indexes for November show manufacturing rebound, continued rampant price pressures, and stagnant employment”  – by New Deal democrat Although the federal government has resumed reporting economic data, it is spotty and woefully stale, from August and September. As a result, the two big sources for current data remain the regional Feds […]

Money, Power and the Traders who Barter the Earth’s Resources

Book Review: The World for Sale The one-handed economist Javier Blas and Jack Farchy (B&F) published this book in 2022, and I decided to read it after hearing them discuss it on a podcast. The book focuses on commodity traders “who barter the Earth’s resources” as it says in the subtitle. On the one hand, these […]

The housing market continues to be recessionary: repeat home sales edition

– by New Deal democrat Note: there was a good advance manufacturers’ new orders report for September this morning. I’m going to save discussing it until Friday, when I dissect the regional Fed reports, which are now all in through November. Neither building permits and starts, nor new residential sales, were updated this morning, which means […]

Jobless claims continue recent trends, do not suggest any worsening of unemployment

– by New Deal democrat With the end of the government shutdown, jobless claims are fully updated and back on their regular schedule. And this week, there was more of the same. Initial jobless claims were down -6,000 to a very low 216,000, and the four week average declined -1,000 to 223,750. With the typical […]

The Economies of Biden and Trump . . . Similar?

Inherited Economies Biden and Trump, Patreon – by Dean Baker Donald Trump may not be able to remember what things were like five years ago, when he handed the economy and the country to Joe Biden, but it is important that the rest of us do. As in so many other areas where Trump tries […]

Forever Contaminants Such as PFAS

This report from Environmental Health News (EHN) is 3= years old. I would regard it as relatively accurate in 2025. In Livingston County Michigan, the lakes were polluted with types of PFAS and many of the fish caught in lakes such as Strawberry lake carried PFAS. Unknown to many, people were eating the fish. I can not […]

NVIDIA’s Distinction: Is there an AI bubble?

In The Theory of the Leisure Class, Thorstein Veblen coined a number of terms that have become terms of art: conspicuous consumption, conspicuous waste, pecuniary emulation, invidious comparison, and invidious distinction. He introduced the latter term as it pertained to different kinds of employment in a “higher barbarian culture”: …the distinction between exploit and drudgery […]

Producer prices in September told a tale of goods vs. services (plus; programming note)

 – by New Deal democrat First, a scheduling note. Several data releases have been made this morning. Several more delayed releases having to do with housing *might* be released tomorrow. Alas, the very late Q3 GDP report is not going to be released at all until the end of December. There will be no releases on […]

Expiring ACA Tax Credits Cause Higher Premiums Due to Age Rating

If Congress does not extend the enhanced premium tax credits, older Marketplace enrollees, especially early retirees and the self-employed, would see some of the steepest increases in premiums. The enhanced premium tax credits lowered the share of income enrollees had to pay toward premiums and expanded subsidy eligibility to people with incomes above 400% of the federal […]