Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Taxes, government, and the good life

by Linda Beale Taxes, government, and the good life In 2012, Ed Asner narrated a cartoon video prepared for the California Federation of Teachers called “Taxing the Rich”.  It’s worth watching, given the four-decades-long effort by the GOP to convince ordinary Americans that “trickle down” economic goodies will be coming their way if they only […]

Trump’s Economic adviser team

Via Thinkprogress: Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump announced his economic policy advisory team on Friday — a collection of 13 white men. While the list does not include any women or racial minorities, it does include five Steves. The people Trump will ostensibly rely on for economic guidance are are: Steve Roth, a fellow real […]

Quote to better understand Productivity

“Stressing output is the key to improving productivity, while looking to increase activity can result in just the opposite.” Paul Gauguin Policy seeks to increase activity in spite of weak effective demand for output. So is it any surprise that zero-lower-bound monetary policy has not normalized the economy? If only economists would understand Effective Demand […]

Explaining Trump’s Appeal, Part 1

by Mike Kimel Explaining Trump’s Appeal, Part 1 The reason Donald Trump has been unstoppable so far is that Republicans, and now Democrats as well, don’t seem to understand what motivates Trump voters.  The single most important driver is, as (almost) always, the economy.  The table below illustrates the problem: Figure 1 As the graphs […]

Trump Train Tweets

As far as I can tell the Trump train tweet is authentic (and authentic click bait). Checking his time line I found this more recent tweet FRED begs to differ The tweet might show Trump cherry picking (and cheating on “through”). After Bush and the Republicans (with assistance from Democrats including Bill Clinton) left the […]

The most important endorsement of Clinton other than Sanders’ and Warren’s came today … from Al Gore

Paul Waldman has a lengthy post today at the Washington Post’s Plum Line blog titled “Despite what you’ve heard, Democrats aren’t in disarray. Their party is under attack from the outside.”   He argues that the Democratic Party itself isn’t that divided, and that the divisions really are between Democrats and the outsider Sanders supporters who […]

Exponential Decay of Inflation

Yesterday, I wrote about the connection between inflation and corporate profits. (link) I posted this graph. (quarterly data since 1958 to 1st quarter 2016) The graph shows how inflation drops as net corporate profits rise. Net corporate profit rate = Corporate profits/GDP – nominal interest rate The trend line (bright red curving downward) implies an […]

PPACA Premiums are Lower than You Think

Or so The Brookings Institute would like us to believe. What would cause Brookings to take such a stance especially since parts of the PPACA increased costs dramatically and premiums have increased dramatically? Coverage such as: mandated guaranteed issue regardless of health status; restrictions on the ability to charge different premiums based on anything besides […]

Inflation & Corporate Profits

Is there a relationship between Inflation and Corporate Profits? I think so. But I do not know of anyone talking about the relationship, so I will. The point I want to make is that corporations control prices. They set prices. They are not just price-takers. Corporations will change prices with an eye on their profits. […]