The Marco Rubio debate moment that worries Democrats: When Marco Rubio cast the election as a ‘generational choice,’ he took a page out of the Obama playbook to portray himself as the candidate of future. It could work. — Title and subtitle of an article in today’s Christian Science Monitor, by Linda Feldman (via Yahoo Politics) […]

-by New Deal democrat Forecasting the 2016 election economy: in which I respond to Nate Silver As you all know, I have been writing a series about “Forecasting the 2016 election economy.” In general, good economic conditions at election time usually mean the return of the incumbent party to the White House, while a recession […]

– by New Deal democrat       Forecasting the 2016 election economy, first forecast: the long leading indicators Last week I showed that, going back 160 years, roughly 3/4 of all US Presidential election results correlated positively with whether or not at the time of the election campaign, the US was in a recession […]

by New Deal democrat Forecasting the Presidential election: simply knowing whether the economy is expanding or in recession gives you the correct answer more than 2/3 of the time If you want a quick and dirty guide to whether an incumbent political party will retain control of the White House in a Presidential election, simply […]

For Profit Goes on Probation The University of Phoenix has been placed on probation by the Department of Defense preventing the university from recruiting on military bases. The probation comes after the Federal Trade Commission and the California Attorney General’s investigation into the University of Phoenix recruiting methods, its high costs, and the resulting poor […]

(Dan here….perhaps food for thought on a Sunday) ​Scott Baker is a professor at the Henry George School, the State Coordinator of the NY Chapter of The Public Banking Institute,  and the author is America Is Not Broke! Are You a Liberal or a Conservative? Are You Sure? Quick, without looking at the answers – or at […]

I’ve got a new post up at a new site, Evonomics Magazine (“The next evolution of economics”). It’s an impressive offshoot with some great articles, assembled by folks involved with The Evolution Institute, which I’m a big booster for. My readers here will find much familiar in the post, but I’m happy with how it […]

Marco Rubio spoke today to a large group of Iowa Republican activists and urged them to “turn the page on outdated leaders of both parties“. They agreed to do that, and started chanting “Feel the Bern.” — Senator, You’re No John Kennedy.  You’re Just Clumsily Appropriating a Campaign Line of His [from his 1946 run […]

“Always click the link” — Kevin Drum In his latest Op-ed Paul Krugman wrote ” Americans overwhelmingly believe that the wealthy pay less than their fair share of taxes, and even Republicans are closely divided on the issue.” I would have guessed that a majority of rank and file Republicans agree with all Republican presidential […]

– by New Deal democrat Part 1 The decline in prime age labor force participation: the smoking gun (part 2 of 2); comparing June Cleaver and Roseanne Conner I recently wrote about the compelling evidence that the biggest reason for the decline in the prime working age labor participation rate was the “child care cost […]