Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Betting against the Trump tariffs

The right of Trump to impose tariffs at will and without Congressional approval is headed to the SCOTUS. What’s the odds that the tariffs will be overturned? Turns out there’s a market in tariff refunds if the SCOTUS rules against Trump: “In July the US government brought in $29.6 billion in tariff revenue compared to […]

Social Security COLA conundrum

“The 2026 COLA is likely to be 2.7%, according to a recent projection by The Senior Citizens League. That’s a notch above this year’s COLA of 2.5%, which bumped up the average monthly benefit by roughly $50 for retired workers, and applies to more than 70 million retired senior citizens and disabled workers.” But does […]

Why should you get the COVID vaccine?

1. A recent study showed that even people with mild COVID infections have a loss of blood vessel elasticity comparable to someone five years older. 2. A recent study showed that fragments of Sars-CoV-2 viral proteins—particularly the RNA replicase protein—can be found in circulating vesicles months after a COVID infection and could contribute to the […]

The real MAHA

RFK Jr isn’t exactly wrong about how Americans need to improve their diets. But vilifying ultraprocessed foods and food dyes won’t do it. The actual problem is that most Americans get too many of their calories from fat, sugar and red meat, when they should get most of their calories from fruits, vegetables, grains, nuts […]

Mark Twain: a book review

Just finished Ron Chernow’s biography of Samuel Clemens, “Mark Twain.” I had previously read his biographies of John D. Rockefeller and Alexander Hamilton, so I knew I would like this book. In addition, I attended an interview he gave in Harford during his book tour, and he made me look forward to reading the book […]

Suffer the little children

From an interview with Jacob Lew, Obama’s Treasury Secretary, Biden’s ambassador to Israel: When you would call them in the middle of the night and say, “What on earth happened?,” what was usually the answer? The general pattern was that in-the-moment stories were inaccurate, and that the Israeli military and government establishment were not in […]

RFK Jr promises to find “the” cause of autism

We’ve known for decades that the risk for autism is mostly heritable, i.e., genetics. Certain environmental inputs can enhance the expression of autistic traits, but the cause lies in genetics. “The rise in prevalence, many researchers say, is predominantly caused by an increase in diagnoses rather than a true rise in the underlying symptoms and […]

Cracker-in-chief

I’ve never been to a Cracker Barrel restaurant and can’t remember ever caring about their logo. But Trump is searching daily for another manufactured outrage to distract from the Epstein files, and he’s rescued his fellow geezer in the Cracker Barrel logo. “Cracker Barrel’s controversial redesign made its way to the president’s desk, and now […]

Trump re-branding

In his latest effort to control the news cycle and distract from the Epstein scandal, Trump wants to re-brand the Department of Defense as the Department of War. That was its original name, of course. It was changed to the Defense Department after WWII. “As you know, we won World War I, we won World […]

Trump administration creeping towards socialism

Socialism is the form of economics in which the government controls the means of production. The Trump administration now controls 10% of Intel and is looking to buy shares in other private corporations. How is that not creeping socialism? “The United States government’s 10 percent stake in Intel could harm international sales for the semiconductor […]