Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Israel: Demography vs. Democracy

Preliminary election results from the Israeli elections are due in a couple of hours and no one who follows this even a little bit imagines that the path going forward is anything but fraught with uncertainty. Indeed it is not clear that given the polling that any stable government can be formed. But what is […]

Is the US getting addicted to extremely low interest rates ?

Uber wonk Matt O’Brien writes about The “weird way people talk about zero interest rates” He discusses Gillian Tett discussing her conversations with those who O’Brien calls the “the masters of the universe.” They don’t like the Fed’s extremly low interest rate policy. They can’t claim that loose monetary policy has causes excessive inflation, so […]

Advice and Consent of the Senate

Continuing my efforts to demonstrate that a little knowledge of the law is a dangerous thing (and adding a superfluous Wald to the name of the AngryBear competent to discuss this) I wonder how and why Senators decided that the President must seek their advice and consent before performing any foreign policy (including for all […]

Why didn’t Clinton set up two email addresses for herself, one for her personal emails, the other for her work emails, on @clintonemail.com? Just wondering.*

In many ways, [Clinton] did a good job at her press conference on Tuesday. The part of her speech talking about her daughter’s wedding and her mother’s funeral arrangements being off limits, that certainly resonated. She absolutely was right when she said, “No one wants their personal e-mails made public.” — Hillary Clinton Is Turning […]

The Phillips curve in 3 dimensions, animated

by New Deal democrat The Phillips curve in 3 dimensions, animated – Yesterday I wrote that the Phillips curve might best be considered as three-dimensional, where the third axis was commodity prices, and in particular Oil.  A shock to underlying commodity prices would also “shock” the unemployment vs. inflation trade-off, moving the curve along the […]

Global Stability, National Responsibilities

by Joseph Joyce Global Stability, National Responsibilities The global financial crisis demonstrated clearly how the flow of money across borders could deepen and widen a financial crisis. A decline in U.S. housing prices led to a re-examination of the safety of financial securities based on them and an implosion in credit markets as financial institutions […]

The Phillips curve in the 21st century (or, The Phillips curve as a 3 dimensional foil)

by New Deal democrat The Phillips curve in the 21st century (or, The Phillips curve as a 3 dimensional foil) This is my third post about the possibility of the Fed raising rates as early as June. In the first post, I pointed out that both wage growth and inflation are at historic, half-century lows. […]

What is to be done with the 47 non traitors

The 47 senators who wrote their absurd ignorant improper and (almost) unprecedented letter in an attempt to undermine Nuclear negotiations between Iran and the (5)+1 are not traitors. The Constitution defines treason “Treason against the United States, shall consist only in levying War against them, or in adhering to their Enemies, giving them Aid and […]